Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Mustangs vs. Horned Frogs CBB Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Horned Frogs on Saturday, December 10th Dickies Arena, Fort Worth. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAA basketball predictions like this Mustangs Horned Frogs matchup.
2022 NCAA Basketball Handicapping
- (3-6) SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs (7-1)
- Date: Saturday, December 10th
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Venue: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth
- CBB Moneyline Odds: Mustangs +501 | Horned Frogs -755
- NCAAB Betting ATS Odds: SMU +11.5 | TCU -11.5 (Bet Now!)
- CBB Betting Total: O/U 135.0
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- Scroll down for our SMU vs TCU free pick
SMU Mustangs
SMU heads into their matchup vs TCU with a record of 3-6 while looking to shake a 3-game losing streak. Out of 2 games road games this season, SMU has a record of 0-2. Having been the underdog in 3 games, SMU has gone 0-3 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +11.5 underdogs on the spread. So far, SMU has only played non-conference games. Last year, they went 9-3 in their non-conference games.
Coming into the game, Zhuric Phelps is the team leader in scoring, averaging 19.56 points per game. In addition to his scoring, Phelps is grabbing 4.0 rebounds and adding 2.67 assists. SMU’s second leading scorer is Zach Nutall, who has hit 39.8% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 12.56 points per game.
The Mustangs’ offense heads into the game ranked 103rd in the NCAA at 74.4 points per contest. SMU’s offensive attack is heavily reliant on getting the ball inside as 57.43% of their shots have come inside the arc. So far, the team is ranked 186th in overall field goal percentage at 44.4%. When the Mustangs have taken 3-point shots, they are hitting 36.3% of their looks.
In terms of pace, SMU is below the NCAA average in possessions per game, averaging just 67.9 per contest, placing them just 446th in college basketball. Currently, the team is pulling down rebounds at a similar rate to the NCAA average at 37.5 rebounds per contest. This figure includes 9.5 offensive boards per game.
TCU Horned Frogs
TCU heads into their matchup vs SMU with a record of 7-1 and riding a 5-game win streak. Today will be Horned Frogs’ 9th straight game at home this year. Getting ready to play for the 7 times as the favorite, the Horned Frogs have gone 6-1 in those matchups. Playing at home, TCU comes into this game as -11.5 point favorites. So far, TCU has only played non-conference games. Last year, they went 11-1 in their non-conference games.
Coming into the game, Mike Miles Jr. is the team leader in scoring, averaging 18.2 points per game. In addition to his scoring, Jr. is grabbing 3.8 rebounds and adding 3.2 assists. TCU’s second leading scorer is Micah Peavy, who has hit 37.0% of his field goal attempts and is averaging 10.0 points per game.
On offense, TCU is one of the worst-performing units in the NCAA, averaging just 68.1 points per game. This figure places them just 298th in college basketball. TCU’s offensive attack is heavily reliant on getting the ball inside, as 68.01% of their shots have come inside the arc. So far, the team is ranked 214th in overall field goal percentage at 44.1%. When the Horned Frogs has taken 3-point shots, they are hitting 30.4% of their looks.
In terms of pace, TCU is below the NCAA average in possessions per game, averaging just 65.4 per contest, placing them just 590th in college basketball. Currently, the team is one of the better rebounding teams in the country, at 38.8 rebounds per contest. This figure includes 12.9 offensive boards per game.
CBB Betting Trends
- SMU is 1-4 vs the spread in their last 5 games. The Mustangs are 1-4 straight up in these matchups.
- SMU is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games on the road, going 3-7 SU.
- The Mustangs are 0-3 SU in their last 3 games as the underdog. They are 0-3 vs the spread in these contests.
- The Horned Frogs are 3-0 SU in their last 3 games as the favorite. They are 2-1 vs the spread in these contests.
Free SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAAB Prediction:
Free Spread Prediction: SMU Mustangs +11.5
When looking at the betting lines for this showdown between the TCU Horned Frogs and SMU Mustangs, our analysis likes the value of taking SMU to put up a fight as the 11.5 point underdogs. Pace of play should be a big factor in this matchup, as both sides prefer to grind the clock and make their opponents defend. With this game likely featuring a limited number of possessions, there will be less opportunity for TCU to pull away and cover the spread as -11.5 point favorites. Despite SMU sitting at just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog, for today’s game, we will be locking in the Mustangs at +11.5.
Free CBB Betting Pick: SMU ATS
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