Free NCAAB Pick: Boilermakers vs. Crimson Tide Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Crimson Tide on 11/13 at Coleman Coliseum, in Alabama. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAB predictions like this Boilermakers Crimson Tide free pick.
2025 NCAAB Handicapping – Purdue Boilermakers vs Alabama Crimson Tide
(2-0) Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0)
Date: Nov 13, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Coleman Coliseum in Alabama, AL
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Boilermakers +142 | Crimson Tide -180 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Boilermakers +3.5 | Crimson Tide -3.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 175.5
Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Boilermakers Crimson Tide free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Boilermakers vs. Crimson Tide Gameday
Tonight in Tuscaloosa, the Purdue Boilermakers walk into a classic early-season gut check against the Alabama Crimson Tide. With Purdue catching +3.5 as the underdog, oddsmakers are giving the Tide the slightest nod at home. For a November non-conference showdown, this one has all the ingredients of a mid-March appetizer.
And let’s be real — anytime a top-two team walks into Coleman Coliseum, the building usually wakes up fast.
Purdue enters ranked No. 2 in the AP Poll after dismantling Oakland by 10 and torching Evansville by 31. The offense has clicked from deep, and the guard play has been sharp enough to justify their lofty ranking. That early-season confidence is hard to miss.
Meanwhile, Alabama sits at No. 8 with its own 2-0 start, including a 7-point win over St. John’s and a 29-point blowout against North Dakota. Nate Oats’ teams rarely start slow, and the early returns on this roster suggest another fast-paced, explosive unit. With both squads undefeated, the intensity should be high from the opening tip.
The over/under sits at a hefty 175.5, and given the tempo both sides play with, that number doesn’t feel exaggerated. Fans tuning in to ESPN2 at 7:00 PM ET should expect a track meet with legitimate March implications.
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It’s Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide — and if both offenses show up, buckle up for fireworks.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds & Last 5
Glancing at the matchup, Alabama’s offensive pace is reflected clearly in the odds. They’ve scored north of 90 in each of their first two games, which matches up with the lofty total of 175.5. However, Purdue’s defense has quietly held both early opponents under 80, something bettors shouldn’t overlook.
Purdue’s backcourt duo of Braden Smith and Fletcher Loyer has carried the early scoring load, especially Loyer after dropping 30 on Evansville. Their ability to control tempo will matter against Alabama’s pressure. If they dictate pace, Purdue can absolutely flip the script as an underdog.
Meanwhile, Alabama has leaned on Labaron Philon’s scoring punch, as he has led the Tide in both wins. His ability to attack downhill changes the dynamic of their half-court sets, especially when defenses try to slow their pace. It’s a matchup that should heavily influence tonight’s outcome.
The total sitting at 175.5 suggests an offensive showcase, but Purdue’s structure could force more half-court possessions than Alabama prefers. Still, the Tide’s home-court advantage gives them an edge if the game opens up.
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Crimson Tide Stats
For Alabama, the early-season identity is familiar — fast pace, big numbers, and relentless shot volume. They average 97 points per game, good for top-30 nationally, and play at a blistering 77.6 possessions per outing. That pace ranks 13th in Division I and fits seamlessly into Nate Oats’ free-flowing philosophy.
Shooting efficiency has been respectable overall at 50.4% from the field, though their 30.6% mark from three leaves room for improvement. If the perimeter shooting warms up, this offense can break games open instantly. They’ll need it against Purdue’s disciplined defense.
Individually, Labaron Philon has been the engine with 25 and 22 points through two games. Taylor Bol Bowen added a strong performance with 17 points and nine boards against St. John’s, giving Alabama some needed frontcourt stability. The depth pieces remain a work in progress but offer upside.
Defensively, Alabama’s 8.5 steals and 6.0 blocks per game indicate plenty of activity, though the 21 fouls per game are a red flag. If they can’t defend without hacking, Purdue’s shooters may turn those whistles into early momentum.
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Boilermakers Stats
Purdue enters averaging 84.5 points per game, largely fueled by efficiency rather than pure tempo. Shooting 47.2% from the field on 63.5 attempts per night underscores how well they operate in half-court settings. Their 57.5% effective field-goal rate ranks inside the national top 75.
From distance, the Boilermakers have been lethal. They pump in 13 made threes per game — 14th in the country — and shoot 40.6% from deep, which sits inside the top 50 nationally. When those shots fall, they become nearly impossible to guard straight-up.
In their recent wins, Braden Smith dazzled against Oakland with 20-7-9, and Fletcher Loyer exploded for 30 against Evansville. Their guard play is as polished as you’ll find in November, and it continues to drive the offense. That gives Purdue a legitimate path to an outright upset.
Defensively, Oscar Cluff has been a shot-blocking force with five swats per game. But the team averages only four steals, ranking 170th, which could be problematic in transition.
Trey Kaufman-Renn’s uncertain status also looms large, as Purdue’s frontcourt depth may be tested if he can’t go.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide bottom line: Purdue’s shooting efficiency and spacing travel well, but Alabama’s tempo and home-court pace pressure can flip runs in a heartbeat.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Purdue | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 84.5 (137th) | 97.0 (30th) |
| FG % | 47.2 (143rd) | 50.4 (61st) |
| 3 Point FG% | 40.6 (42nd) | 30.6 (245th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 32.0 (34th) | 31.0 (43rd) |
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Basketball Betting Trends
- The Boilermakers are 2-0 straight up in all games this season.
- They are also 0-2 against the spread as favorites.
- Their over/under record is 1-1 in the last three games.
- The Crimson Tide are 2-0 straight up in all games this season.
- Additionally, they are 1-0 against the spread as underdogs.
- Their over/under record is 1-1 in the last three games.
Boilermakers Crimson Tide Free Pick: Under 175.5
Here is my Boilermakers Crimson Tide free pick. To start, Purdue and Alabama both enter this matchup firing on all cylinders, yet their stylistic differences stand out immediately. Because Purdue operates at a methodical 63.6 possessions per game, the overall tempo naturally drags into a slower rhythm.
Interestingly, these programs met recently on December 9, 2023, when Purdue edged Alabama 92-86 in Toronto, a game that still stayed under what would be today’s lofty 175.5 total. That result provides at least a bit of historical grounding for how their styles clash.
Meanwhile, Alabama certainly knows how to fill it up, averaging 97 points per contest, but tempo math matters. Since Purdue’s defense limits both transitions and early-clock looks, Alabama’s explosiveness could be muted.
Purdue’s ability to control the shot clock forces opponents into half-court execution, which often shortens games. Alabama thrives in chaos, yet Purdue rarely allows games to get chaotic.
My system tells me the slower pace points sharply toward the under.
Additionally, the current total of 175.5 sits extremely high for a contest where one team deliberately slams on the brakes. Even with Alabama’s scoring power, matchups driven by Purdue’s tempo rarely spiral upward.
With such an inflated number and Purdue controlling pace, the under 175.5 is the only play that makes sense.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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NCAAB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Tide Hoops vs. Boiler Ball in Coleman 🏀#RollTide | #BlueCollarBasketball pic.twitter.com/zGrZsuTuWB
— Alabama Men’s Basketball (@AlabamaMBB) November 13, 2025
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