Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Bulldogs vs. Panthers CBB Odds
Looking for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Panthers on Tuesday, March 14th UD Arena, Dayton. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAA basketball predictions like this Bulldogs Panthers matchup.
College Basketball Sportsbooks
2023 NCAA Basketball Handicapping Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh
- (21-12) Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11)
- Date: Tuesday, March 14th
- Time: 9:10 ET
- Venue: UD Arena, Dayton
- CBB Moneyline Odds: Bulldogs -125 | Panthers +105
- NCAAB Betting ATS Odds: Mississippi State -1.5 | Pittsburgh +1.5 (Bet Now!)
- CBB Betting Total: O/U 132.0
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State was able to secure a play-in game as an 11-seed after making a late season run. Though they were beaten badly in their SEC tournament bout with Alabama, this team has shown a high-end at times.
The Bulldogs have good size in their frontcourt and rebound well, ranking 27th in total rebounds per game. To that point, second-chance points and owning the glass are critical factors this time of the year.
Even still, this is a 12-loss team, not much different from their opponent. A play here and a play there can make all the difference.
Senior forward, Tolu Smith paces the offense in scoring and rebounding, posting averages of 15.8 ppg and 8.5 rebounds per game. It will be interesting how Pitt attacks him not only when the Bulldogs are on offense, but also when they’re defending.
Additionally, fouls are big swing factors when it comes to winning and potentially covering. Further, the fact that their offense is so reliant on one person makes me just a bit wary.
On the whole, Miss State isn’t an intimidating offense. What’s more, they rank a mere 252nd in offensive efficiency and rank a paltry 363rd in team 3P%.
At just 65.9 ppg on the year, this is a team that won’t be carried by their offense but rather will have to play a complete game for 40 minutes.
Pittsburgh’s regular season was ended by a drubbing at the hands of the white-hot Duke Blue Devils.
They, like Mississippi State, were one of the last teams to get in, but could remain dangerous in a 6-11 matchup and beyond. Keep in mind, this team beat #11 Virginia earlier this year, so a slow, grinding game with low scoring isn’t out of their range.
Contrarily, they lost 3 of their last 4 including losses to Miami and Duke. Obviously, you want to be playing your best basketball this time of year, but desperation has a way of making all the difference.
Panthers Key Stats
To start, Pittsburgh is the more consistent offense, averaging 76.1 ppg (compared to Miss State’s 65.9).
Keep an eye on the three point shot here as an x-factor, Pitt is the much better shooting team from deep at 36.0% (79th).
Contrastingly, the Panthers are KenPom’s #24 adjusted offense, compared to the Bulldogs #6 adjusted defense.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers CBB Betting Trends
- To start, Mississippi State is 11-12-1 ATS as a favorite (47.8%)
- Bulldogs are 20-13 (60.6%) to the under
- Then, Pittsburgh is 9-4-1 ATS as an underdog, covering by an average of 1.9 points
- Finally, the Panthers are 21-12 to the over (63.6%) by an average of +4.7 points
Free Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers CBB Betting Pick:
Free Spread Prediction: Pitt +1.5
Here’s the deal: Mississippi State has an elite defense and a weak offense, which is indicated by the total.
More importantly, when the intensity gets dialed up in desperation mode, defense is usually where I’ll side. The Bulldogs can really tighten the screws and they also play at continental drift speed (334th adjusted tempo).
I see this game turning into a rock fight. While I like Pitt to cover here, I think the under is a safe bet.
Free Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Pick: u132.0
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