Free NCAA Basketball Hoops Pick: Michigan vs. Spartans CBB Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA basketball free pick & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Michigan taking on the Spartans on Sunday, March 9th at Breslin Center, in Michigan State, MI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks all college basketball season long including all CBB games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Michigan Michigan State matchup.
NCAA Handicapping Analysis:
(22-8) Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans (25-5)
Date: Sunday, March 9th
Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Breslin Center, Michigan State, MI
NCAA Betting ATS Odds: Michigan +6.5 | Spartans -6.5 (Bet Now!)
CBB Moneyline Odds: Spartans -298 | Michigan +240
CBB Total: O/U 145.5
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Planning on watching today’s Wolverines and Spartans game? Catch the action at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 12:00 ET on CBS.
The over/under for this game is set at 145.5 points, and Michigan State is favored by -6.5 vs. Michigan in a Big Ten conference matchup.
Get ready for another chapter in one of college basketball’s fiercest rivalries as Michigan and Michigan State clash in a high-stakes showdown with bragging rights—and potential seeding implications—on the line.
The Wolverines may lead the all-time series 97-91, but the Spartans have been flexing their muscle lately, including a decisive 75-62 win in their last meeting.
Michigan State enters this battle at 25-5, riding a wave of momentum and looking to protect home court, while Michigan, sitting at 22-8, knows a statement win in East Lansing could shake things up before tournament time.
Oddsmakers have the Spartans heavily favored at -298 on the moneyline, and with good reason—they’ve been dominant in this matchup when playing in front of the Izzone.
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2026 College Basketball Handicapping
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But rivalry games have a way of defying the odds, and Michigan won’t go down without a fight. Expect physicality, elite coaching adjustments, and the kind of intensity that makes Big Ten basketball must-watch. Buckle up—this one’s going to be a war.
Michigan Wolverines Recent Game/Games
Michigan fell to 22-8 on the season after a 71-65 home loss to Maryland on Wednesday. The Wolverines, who were -1.5 favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 136 fell well short of the O/U line of 155.5.
After trailing 33-22 at halftime, Michigan put up 43 points in the 2nd half while allowing 38, but their comeback effort wasn’t enough to secure the win.
Michigan Wolverines Stats
In their latest game, the Wolverines put up 65 points, shooting 43.5% from the field and 35% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage stood at 48.4%, and they connected on just 4 of 7 free throws.
Offensively, they grabbed 9 offensive rebounds and dished out 16 assists. Danny Wolf was a standout, shooting 69.2% overall and hitting 2 of 3 from deep, finishing with 20 points, 8 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Michigan’s defense gave up 71 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 43% from the field. They allowed 27 made baskets on 62 attempts.
From beyond the arc, the opponent hit 7 of 20 threes, shooting 35%. Michigan also sent them to the line 7 times, where they made 4 free throws.
Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games
Michigan State improved to 25-5 on the season with a 91-84 win over Iowa on Thursday, March 6th. The Spartans, who were -6.5 point favorites, covered the spread with the victory.
After trailing 37-30 at halftime, Michigan State erupted for 61 points in the 2nd half while allowing 47. The total points for the game reached 175, surpassing the O/U line of 155.5.
Michigan State Spartans Stats
Michigan State put up 91 points in their last game, shooting 50.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 59%. They hit 64.7% of their two-point attempts and went 9-for-27 from beyond the arc, shooting 33.3% from three-point range. At the free-throw line, the Spartans connected on 66.7%, making 20 of 30 attempts.
Jase Richardson led the way with 22 points, while Josh Dix added 18 points and 7 rebounds, hitting 3 of 5 from deep. Jaxon Kohler and Jaden Akins each contributed 15 points, with Kohler shooting 71.4% from the field. The Spartans also recorded 15 assists and 10 offensive rebounds in the win.
Michigan State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 84 points on 47% shooting from the field. They allowed 52% shooting on two-point attempts, with the opposing team hitting 21 of 40 shots inside the arc.
From beyond the three-point line, Michigan State’s defense allowed 9 made threes on 23 attempts, a 39% success rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 15 free throws for 83%. Michigan State gave up 10 offensive rebounds in the game.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | MICH | MST |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 79.1 (64th) | 78.4 (75th) |
| FG % | 48% (31st) | 46% (86th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 34% (162nd) | 29% (332nd) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 24.7 (95th) | 19.4 (318th) |
NCAA Bettors we want to hear from you. comment below. Give us your Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA picks!
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Basketball Betting Trends
- The Wolverines are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Wolverines are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Spartans have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Wolverines’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Spartans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
NCAA Basketball Betting – 4* Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Free Pick: Michigan +6.5
In this Wolverines Spartans matchup, our point-spread bet is on Michigan plus the points. While we project the Spartans to win 76-71, our recommendation is to bet on the Wolverines for the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145.5, and our model predicts the Wolverines and Spartans to score a combined 147. We recommend betting on the over (slight lean).
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Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Basketball Betting Tweet Of The Day
GO GREEN, WEAR WHITE ⚪️⚪️⚪️
12 PM ET on CBS. pic.twitter.com/GHIjjgikaB
— Michigan State Men’s Basketball (@MSU_Basketball) March 9, 2025
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