Free NCAAB Pick: Flyers vs. Cavaliers Odds
Looking for Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Flyers taking on the Cavaliers on 12/6 at Spectrum Center, in Charlotte, NC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAB predictions like this Flyers Cavaliers free pick.
2025 NCAAB Handicapping – Dayton Flyers vs Virginia Cavaliers
(7-2) Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliers (7-1)
Date: Dec 06, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Flyers +223 | Cavaliers -291 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Flyers +6.5 | Cavaliers -6.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 144.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Dayton ATS bet below in my Flyers Cavaliers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Flyers vs. Cavaliers Gameday
The Dayton Flyers will face the #5 Virginia Cavaliers at Spectrum Center in Charlotte this Saturday, December 6, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET. The game will air on ESPN2. Dayton enters this matchup with a solid 7-2 record, and they’ve shown strength on both ends of the court.
Most recently, they defeated East Tennessee State with a standout performance from De’Shayne Montgomery, who scored 29 points.
The Flyers aim to keep their momentum going, especially after a tough loss to BYU.
The Virginia Cavaliers are 7-1 on the season and come into this game ranked #5 in the country. Virginia bounced back from a loss to Butler with impressive wins over teams like Texas and Queens (NC). Their defense has been a key factor in their success, and their offensive play has been solid as well. With an undefeated record at home and a 1-0 road mark, they are poised to defend their home turf in this neutral-site game.
Both teams have shown potential this season, and this non-conference game will be a critical test for both sides. With the over/under set at 144.5, this game is expected to feature some fast-paced play.
Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Odds & Last 5
The Cavaliers enter as slight favorites with a 6.5-point spread. Virginia’s moneyline is set at -132, while Dayton comes in at +112.
The Flyers have been playing well recently, despite a tough loss to BYU. They are coming off an impressive win over East Tennessee State, which displayed their ability to execute offensively. In contrast, Virginia bounced back from a loss to Butler with strong wins over Texas and Queens (NC). They will be confident, especially with their solid record and successful home performances.
This matchup promises an exciting battle between two well-coached teams.
Both sides will be looking to prove themselves, and with the spread tight, bettors are expecting a close and competitive contest.
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAAB matchup.
Cavaliers Stats
Virginia has been one of the more dynamic teams offensively this season, averaging 87.6 points per game (44th in the nation). Their shooting has been efficient, with a field goal percentage of 48.0, and they’ve made 10.6 three-pointers per game. These numbers highlight their ability to score quickly and effectively.
Defensively, Virginia excels in creating turnovers. They average 6.4 steals per game and have been solid at limiting second-chance opportunities with a rebounding average of 43.4. Their ability to control the game on both ends is a major strength.
Key players like Malik Thomas have been instrumental in their recent success. Thomas is averaging over 13 points per game and is also a key contributor in the team’s offensive sets.
Despite their strong play, Virginia’s defense does have some areas to improve, particularly in limiting turnovers.
Flyers Stats
The Dayton Flyers have been strong on offense, averaging 80.0 points per game this season. They rank 119th in field goal percentage at 46.9, but their effective field goal percentage sits at a better 54.3, placing them at 110th in the nation. Dayton has also been effective at the free-throw line, ranking 22nd with 20.1 free throws made per game.
Defensively, the Flyers have been competitive but need to improve in certain areas. They rank 366th in total rebounds per game, averaging just 33.3, which can impact their ability to finish strong.
However, their guard play has been stellar, with De’Shayne Montgomery leading the way in points.
The Flyers’ ability to recover from their loss to BYU will be critical in this matchup, and they will need key players like Montgomery and Amaël L’Etang to step up again if they want to knock off the Cavaliers.
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Flyers vs. Cavaliers Bottom Line: Both teams have been strong, with Virginia’s depth and defense contrasting Dayton’s offensive firepower. The key to this game will be Virginia’s ability to impose their defense on Dayton, while the Flyers must counter with their high-scoring offense.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Dayton | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 80.0 (149th) | 87.6 (44th) |
| FG % | 46.9 (119th) | 48.0 (85th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 33.5 (192nd) | 37.9 (37th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 24.2 (167th) | 28.0 (69th) |
Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Basketball Betting Trends
- The Flyers are 6-0 straight up when playing as the favorite this season.
- Dayton has covered the spread in their last three games, going 3-0 ATS.
- In the last three games, the Flyers have hit the over in all of them.
- Also, the Cavaliers are 6-1 straight up as favorites this season.
- Virginia has a strong record against the spread in their last ten games, with a 6-2 ATS mark.
- Additionally, the Cavaliers have seen the total go over in four of their last five games.
Flyers Cavaliers Free Pick: Dayton +6.5
Here is my Flyers Cavaliers free pick: Dayton has been rolling at the window, covering three straight and proving they can punch above their weight as underdogs. Their ability to stay composed in tight games makes the +6.5 immediately attractive.
Meanwhile, Virginia’s mixed ATS form leaves just enough room for a disciplined team like Dayton to hang around.
Dayton’s recent surge isn’t a fluke — they’ve been efficient offensively and steady in late-game possessions. Because they get to the free-throw line consistently and convert at a strong rate, the Flyers have a reliable scoring base even when jump shots aren’t falling.
Virginia brings its trademark defensive structure, but their 6-2 ATS mark over the last ten isn’t as dominant as it looks when matched against Dayton’s current rhythm. The Flyers’ ability to stretch defenses and make timely shots keeps them competitive against grind-it-out teams.
Also, the neutral-site factor levels things slightly, removing Virginia’s home-court advantage and giving Dayton a cleaner path to covering. When the game slows down — as it often does against the Cavaliers — those extra possessions at the line become even more valuable.
Plus, the Flyers’ confidence from recent covers shows in how they manage pace and protect possessions. They rarely beat themselves, which is crucial when backing an underdog in a low-possession matchup.
Considering Dayton’s ATS momentum, scoring balance, and ability to stay composed in tight games, the +6.5 is the play. I’m taking Dayton +6.5.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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NCAAB Betting Tweet Of The Day
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Dayton
ESPN2
https://t.co/5zI9y3meXw
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⚔️ #GoHoos pic.twitter.com/F5ruJSd4tg— Virginia Men’s Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) December 6, 2025
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