Free Pick: Raptors vs. Bucks Odds
Looking for Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Raptors taking on the Bucks on 12/18 at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Raptors Bucks free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
(16-11) Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks (11-16)
Date: Dec 18, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
NBA Moneyline Odds: Raptors -225| Bucks +200 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Raptors -5.5 | Bucks +5.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 220.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored visitors, Toronto, as outlined in my Raptors Bucks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Raptors vs. Bucks Gameday
With the NBA Cup completed, the league returns to action with a slew of matches on Thursday, including the Toronto Raptors and the home team, the Milwaukee Bucks.
Toronto last played on Monday versus the Miami Heat in a match that witnessed the two NBA Cup quarter-finalists play.
The Raptors took care of business, winning 106-96 with five players scoring in double-figures and Brandon Ingram leading the scoring with 28 points. Scottie Barnes was huge defensively, making key plays down the stretch, which allowed Toronto to pull ahead for good.
Milwaukee last played on Sunday in an 87-127 whipping at the hands of the Brooklyn Nets. The loss sparked more rumors that Giannis Antetokounmpo isn’t long for Milwaukee. Trade scenarios were plentiful, especially with the December 15th arrival, which opened up the option for most players to be traded.
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Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds & Last 5
Last year, the Bucks dominated the season series, sweeping the three-game set versus the Raptors. This is the third of four meetings between the clubs this campaign, with each team having won once.
In the last five contests, the Raptors have struggled, going 1-4 and clearly missing the presence of RJ Barrett, who is a key part of the offense, offering a slasher and cutter to help spread the floor. However, with the victory in Miami, the Raptors jumped back up to the third seed with a record of 16-11.
Milwaukee is 2-3 through their last five matches, but has struggled since mid-November due to Antetokounmpo being in and out of the lineup. They sit in the 11th seed in the East with an 11-16 record.
The Raptors are 5.5-point favorites with an over/under of 220.5 points.
Raptors Stats
Toronto ranks 12th offensively (114.8) and tied for seventh defensively (112.6) while holding the 11th-best net rating (+2.2) and ranks 20th in pace (100.19).
The East’s third seed averages 115.4 points per game while its opponents average 113.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averages 29.6 (3rd) and 42.4 (23rd), respectively.
Toronto’s team leaders are Brandon Ingram for scoring (21.8 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (6.1), Jakob Poeltl for rebounds (8.0), and Scottie Barnes for steals (1.4) and blocks (1.6).
As a team, the Raptors shoot 36.3% from the perimeter with six* players shooting over 37%.
*minimum 10 games
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Bucks Stats
Milwaukee is tied to the 22nd rank in the top three categories ranking there on offense (113.4), defense (117.0) as well as the 22nd-best net rating (-3.6) while they rank 24th in pace (99.73).
The East’s 11th seed averages 113.9 points per game while their opponents average 117.7 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Milwaukee averages 26.8 (tied for 10th) and 39.4 (30th), respectively.
Milwaukee’s team leaders* in key categories are Giannis Antetokounmpo in scoring (28.9) and rebounding (10.1), Kevin Porter Jr. for assists (6.9) and steals (2.3), while Myles Turner leads for blocks (1.6).
Seven Bucks shoot over 36.8% from the perimeter (four others shoot over 40% but haven’t played in 10 games yet). As a team, the Bucks shoot 40.4% from deep, ranking first in the association.
*minimum 10 games played
Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks bottom line: These clubs are both dealing with changes as they enter the second quarter of the schedule.
The book might’ve come out on Toronto, who were feasting, and it became clear just how vulnerable they are to remaining healthy as the losses mounted without Barrett.
The Bucks, meanwhile, are a team built around Giannis, so his injury is the easy explanation for why the team is struggling so much without him.
Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Basketball Betting Trends
- Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto’s last 11 games.
- Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Milwaukee.
- Also, Milwaukee is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games.
- Additionally, Milwaukee is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
Raptors Bucks Free Pick: Raptors -5.5
Injuries will play a role in this match as Giannis remains out, but Kyle Kuzma is also a game-time decision. As for the Raptors, while RJ Barrett ramps up his workouts, he’s not expected back until the 20th. More concerning is the uncertainty of Jakob Poeltl playing, as he’s listed as a game-time decision.
Keep an eye on both of these clubs leading up to the trade deadline as Toronto needs more depth upfront while the Bucks could be changing the future direction of their franchise depending on what happens with Antetokounmpo.
Poeltl’s availability is the big question mark because with him I like the Raptors to win easily – – without him it’s more of a coin toss.
Still, I’ll roll with the Raptors to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Toronto Raptors are showing interest in Domantas Sabonis and Anthony Davis, per @JakeLFischer
“The business Toronto is ultimately willing to conduct before the February trade buzzer will likely come down to how good the 16-11 Raptors still are as that deadline draws closer.… pic.twitter.com/WNv2spHHK7
— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) December 16, 2025
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