Free NBA Pick: Raptors vs. Lakers Odds
Looking for Toronto Raptors vs. LA Lakers free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Raptors taking on the Lakers on November 1st at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Raptors Lakers matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Toronto Raptors vs. LA Lakers
Raptors +4.5 | Lakers -4.5Here’s why I’m backing Toronto ATS in my Raptors Lakers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Raptors vs. Lakers Gameday
Toronto travels to LA on November 1st for an NBA matchup at Crypto.com Arena. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 ET, with both teams eyeing a deep run into the playoffs this season.
Both teams last played in NBA Cup action on Friday, where they lost and will be looking to immediately avenge that and get back in the win column.
Toronto has turned over their opponents at least 20 times in four of their first five games while the Lakers are averaging 17.8 miscues per game (ranks 26th).
The Raptors split the two-game series with the Magic but got an absolutely brutal whistle on Friday, and while they contributed largely to the loss, it felt like an uneven battle in that regard.
LA played the Warriors and lost 95-112 despite having their big three in the lineup.
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Toronto Raptors vs. LA Lakers Odds & Previous Games
With the news that Kawhi Leonard had knee swelling, it put a ton of pressure on Scottie Barnes to step up in his absence. He did that on Friday, scoring a career-best 41 points, but didn’t get enough help from his teammates.
As for Leonard, he is in LA but not with the team and unlikely to be at the games as he rehabs the knee in the hopes of returning soon, although he could be out up to four weeks.
LA has looked great in their wins and absolutely terrible in their losses to the Trail Blazers and Warriors. They’ve had a relatively easy schedule, with Toronto arguably the best team they’ve faced so far.
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Raptors Stats
Toronto ranked tied for 14th offensively (115.0) and were fifth defensively (112.1) while holding the 11th-best net rating (+2.9) and ranked 21st in pace (99.22).
The East’s 2025/26 fifth seed averaged 114.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averaged 29.5 (third) and 42.1 (24th), respectively.
Toronto sits second in the league in defensive rating and are excelling in key areas like fast break scoring (first), second chance points (fifth), and points scored off turnovers (seventh).
Toronto’s team leaders were Brandon Ingram for scoring (21.5 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (5.9), Scottie Barnes for rebounds (7.5), steals (1.4), and blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, Toronto shot 35.4% from deep, while six* players shot above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Lakers Stats
LA ranked tenth offensively (117.0) and tied for 20th defensively (115.5), with the 14th-best net rating (1.5), running a pace of 99.22, which ranked tied for 21st in the association.
The West’s fourth seed averaged 116.3 points per game while its opponents averaged 114.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, the Lakers averaged 25.9 (17th) and 41.0 (27th), respectively.
Team leaders* for key categories were Luka Doncic for scoring (**33.5 points), assists (8.3), and steals (1.6), Deandre Ayton for rebounding (8.0), and for blocks (1.0).
LA shot the deep ball at an average of 35.9%, with eight players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Raptors vs. Lakers Key Matchup
Scottie Barnes will draw J.J. Redick’s attention on the chalkboard. The fifth-year wing is averaging 24 points, 6.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and 3.2 stocks per game.
RJ Barrett has also played well and is getting more touches in Leonard’s absence.
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Luka Doncic will be the key focus for the Raptors. He’s putting up MVP-type numbers, averaging a league-best 36.2 points per game.
Another key will be dealing with Walker Kessler, which could be problematic for Jakob Poeltl.
Toronto Raptors vs. LA Lakers bottom line: Although the Lakers have the better record, I’m still not sold on their defense. Luka and Austin Reaves are weaknesses for LA, so look for the Raptors to put them in isolation and attack.
Toronto Raptors vs. LA Lakers Basketball Betting Trends
- Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
- Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 6-1 in the Lakers’ last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-1 in the Lakers’ last 7 games playing on 1 day’s rest
- [Over is 4-1 in Lakers’ last 5 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Raptors Lakers Free Pick: Raptors +4.5
Here is my Raptors Lakers free pick: I’m playing Toronto and taking the points. While the Lakers may pull out this win, I’m at a loss for how they’ll stop the Raptors’ wings in particular.
Kessler, as mentioned, will pose some issues for Toronto, but the Raptors never quit swarming on defense, so Walker better be prepared to be busy all night in the paint.
Per ESPN: Austin Reaves got off to an unbelievably hot start through the Lakers’ 3-0 showing out of the gates, averaging a career-best 26.7 points. He and Luka Doncic (34.3 points per game) are the only pair of teammates in the top 10 in scoring in the league. They would be even more effective if they took care of the ball better. They also both rank in the top 10 in turnovers per game through three games, with 7.0 for Doncic and 4.3 for Reaves. — Dave McMenamin
Toronto wil pressure Doncic and Reaves, knowing their propensity to turn the ball over, and I think that will be the difference in the match.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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The Raptors have a net rating of 14.6. That means they outscore teams by 14.6 points per 100 possessions.
With RJ + Scottie on the court, this falls by 5.5 points to +9.1.
With RJ, without Scottie this still falls by 3.6 points to +11.0.
With Scottie, without RJ, this rises to +25.3.
Scottie + Ja’Kobe (without RJ) have a +20.0 Net Rating.
Scottie + CMB (without RJ) have a +56.7 rating.
But keep telling yourself RJ Barrett is solo carrying the offense.
But help me understand. Because I need to understand.
Why is Toronto’s offense 0.8 points better without their “best offensive player”?
RJ Barrett has been really good to start the season. But the RJ Barrett hypeboys in the comments section need to do some mental gymnastics to arrive at conclusions the data simply does not support.
— Pensare Basketball (@PensareBBall) October 30, 2026
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