Free Pick: Spurs vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for San Antonio Spurs vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Spurs taking on the Thunder on 12/13 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Spurs Thunder free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – San Antonio Spurs vs. OKC Thunder
(17-7) San Antonio Spurs vs. OKC Thunder (24-1)
Date: Dec 13, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
NBA Moneyline Odds: Spurs +345 | Thunder -425 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Spurs +10 | Thunder -10
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 230.5
Here’s why I’m backing favored Oklahoma City in my Spurs Thunder free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Spurs vs. Thunder Gameday
The Emirates NBA Cup semi-finals tip off on Saturday with the Western Conference taking center stage, to close the night featuring the San Antonio Spurs facing the OKC Thunder.
To advance to the semi-finals, the Spurs showcased their youthful athleticism to dispel the LA Lakers 132-119.
It was a case of ripping off the bandage as San Antonio drove the paint, pushed the ball in transition, and nailed shots from the perimeter, exposing the Lakers’ age and lack of mobility.
Stephon Castle, just back from injury, led the charge for the Spurs with 30 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists while six other teammates scored in double figures.
Speaking of blow-outs, the OKC Thunder anhilated the Phoenix Suns, who gave it the good old college try, but without Devin Booker, were no match for the cream of this year’s NBA crop. OKC took control from the tip, winning the first quarter 38-23, and won every quarter on their way to a 138-89 romp where the starters weren’t necessary in the final frame.
MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continued his three-quarter assault, scoring 28 points with eight assists before assuming a cheerleader role with his starter teammates.
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San Antonio Spurs vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
Last year, the Thunder won the season series two games to one over the Spurs. In this campaign, the squads were scheduled to play four times, but because of the NBA Cup, they’ll play five times in total.
San Antonio has played well in the absence of Victor Wembanyama, registering a 10-3 record, but the superstar is inching closer to a return with the possibility of it being in this game (he’s been upgraded to a game-time decision). On the season, the Spurs hold the fifth seed with a 17-7 record.
Meanwhile, OKC just keeps rolling along, having won 16 in a row and is 24-1 on the season, having tied the Warriors for the best 25-game start in NBA history.
Granted, they’ve started the season with an easy strength of schedule; however, the absolute dominance with which they are dismantling teams regardless of what tier the opponent is in reflects the true strength of this squad.
OKC is favored by 9.5 points with an over/under of 227.5 points.
Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks seventh offensively (118.6) and 16th defensively (114.4) while they are tied for eighth in net rating (+4.2) and 16th in pace (100.65).
The West’s fifth seed averages 120.1 points per game while its opponents average 115.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 25.9 (15th) and 44.8 (tied for 12th), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are dominated by two players, Victor Wembanyama, who is tops in scoring (26.2 points), rebounding (12.9), and blocks (3.6), while Stephon Castle leads the Spurs in assists (7.3) and steals (1.5).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have five players shooting above the league average, and as a team, they shoot 36.9%.
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (120.5) on offense and first on defense (103.3). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+17.2) and run the 15th-ranked pace (101.0).
The NBA’s top team averages 123.6 points per game while its opponents average 106.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 26.8 (12th) and 44.6 (14th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.6 points) as well as for assists (6.5), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.7), Cason Wallace for steals (2.3), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, seven Thunder players shoot at least 36.4% with the team shooting 37.4 overall (tied for 6th).
*minimum 10 games
San Antonio Spurs vs. OKC Thunder bottom line: For anyone who wasn’t convinced of the prowess of the Thunder, few were left with doubts following the quarter finals.
The irony is that the typical starting unit has yet to play together, but it hasn’t mattered because the Thunder run deep with one after another young talent who offers versatility, but most importantly has bought into the system.
San Antonio Spurs vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio’s last 7 games.
- San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games.
- Additionally, OKC is 104-0 SU in its last 10 games
Spurs Thunder Free Pick: Thunder -10
Here is my Spurs Thunder free pick. It would be naive to assume the Spurs have no shot at winning, especially with the prospect of Victor Wembanyama returning.
If there is such a thing as a bad matchup for OKC, it would potentially be a deep, young, long, athletic team. San Antonio may be that squad, but they’ll have to face a defense more than capable of utilizing copious guards to slow the Spurs’ three guards, who are quick, talented, and lengthy.
OKC’s net differential of 17.4 is the largest ever recorded in any season in NBA history and most of that has been accumulated with copious starters sidelined. In fact, this is the first time all season Mark Daigneault will have his entire starting lineup healthy!
That said, I still wouldn’t hold your breath that OKC won’t rise to the challenge as they have against every opponent they’ve faced.
As I noted in the last preview, the only question isn’t if OKC will win, but rather how much they’ll win by.
And, like the quarters, again I’ll note this contest could be over quickly, but I’ll bank on the Spurs guards (and Wemby if he plays) giving the Thunder a test, but in the end it’ll be OKC winning and covering.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
San Antonio Spurs’ Victor Wembanyama is likely to return for Saturday’s NBA Cup semifinals against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Las Vegas, sources tell ESPN. Final clearance will come after today’s practice for Wembanyama, who’s been sidelined since Nov. 14 due to a calf strain. pic.twitter.com/KcuApywXJb
— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) December 12, 2025
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