Free NBA Pick: Blazers vs. Warriors NBA Odds
Looking for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Blazers taking on the Warriors on Friday, November 26th, 2021 at the Chase Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Blazers Warriors matchup.
2021 NBA Handicapping
(10-9) Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors (16-2)
Date: Friday, November 26th
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
NBA Moneyline Odds: Blazers +220 | Warriors -240 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Warriors -6.5
NBA Betting Total: 225
Friday, November 26th, finds the Portland Trail Blazers playing the Golden State Warriors for the first time this season.
Both clubs played Wednesday with the Blazers’ four-game win streak ending courtesy of the Kings and the Warriors extending their streak to five with victories in 12 of their last 13 games.
Last season, the teams played three times with Portland winning two of the three contests. The Blazers have won 129 of the 235 matches played between the clubs all-time.
Portland Trail Blazers
The Blazers are the Jekyll and Hyde team of home and road games with a 9-1 record at the Moda Center and a 1-8 record on the road. Typically it’s young teams who struggle on the road so why do the Blazers who have so much constancy struggle?
Part of the reason is tied to the new system being integrated by head coach Chauncey Billups and the players trusting in that process. They naturally feel more comfortable at home but not so much on the road.
To put into perspective just how wide the home-road variance is the stats tell the story (taken prior to the match in Sacramento).
The Blazers ranked in the top 10 at home in points scored (116.4 – 3rd), field goal percentage (47.7% – 7th), 3-point FG% (39.4 -1st), 3-pointers made (15.6 – 2nd), rebounds (46.6 – 9th), steals (8.7 – 7th), blocks (5.9 – 9th).
In comparison, on the road those stats plummet: points scored (102.9 – 22nd), field goal percentage (44.1% – 18th), 3-point FG% (31.3 -24th), 3-pointers made (11.9 – 13th), rebounds (44.4 – 21st), steals (7.6 – 17th), blocks (4.0 – 22nd).
While comfort can be credited for shooting, much of this is energy-related so it’s about Damian Lillard and Billups getting their club to bring the same aggression on the road.
Undoubtedly the stats shifted upward following the game in Sacramento but not substantially. Lillard registered a double-double of 32 points and 10 assists getting to the line 16 times. And like he has all season on the road struggled from deep (3 of 12).
Jusuf Nurkic had a massive 22 points 17 rebound double-double while Norman Powell added 22 points. Five Blazers registered double-figures but the Blazers came up short (121-125).
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors got a bit of a gift Wednesday with both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris out of the 76ers lineup. Steph Curry had a pedestrian double-double of 25 points and 10 assists hitting six of his 11 deep balls and five others recorded double-digit scoring.
Golden State is the only team that ranks in the top five of both offense and defense (Heat, Suns, and Jazz rank in top 10).
While some weren’t buying the Warriors stock early citing an easy schedule they’re proving the success isn’t a blip on the radar. Diving into the stats they rank in the top five of copious offensive and defensive categories.
Offensively, the Dubs rank first in points (114.3), 3-point makes (15.2), and assists (29.4). They rank second in field goal percentage (47.7%), and steals (9.7), and third in total rebounds (47.2).
Defensively, the Warriors rank in the top five of several opponent categories. To wit, they rank first for field goal percentage (42%), and points (100.8). Third for total rebounds (42.1 – tied), blocks (3.8 ), and assists (21.4).
Plus they rank fourth for defensive rebounds (32.8), offensive rebounds (9.3 – tied), and 3-point percentage (32.0 – 4th).
And they’re doing all this without Klay Thompson (or James Wiseman) both of whom are working their way back from injury and should be back in the equation around Christmas.
NBA Betting Trends:
- The Warriors are 6-4 in the last 10 head to head
- The Warriors are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Over Under is 6-4 in the teams last 10 head to head matchups
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games.
- The Blazers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
Free Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Prediction:
It’s important to note Dame Lillard is from the Bay so he plays with extra motivation versus the Dubs. In his rookie season, in his first trip to Oracle Arena, he dropped 37 points.
Twice in his career, he’s scored 61 points – once was versus the Warriors. In addition to copious 30 to 35 point games versus GSW he has games of 51, 44, 40, 39 (x 2), and 38 points against his hometown team.
Putting that in perspective – if there was an opponent that would knock Dame out of his road perimeter woes, the Warriors are it.
Yet, even if Dame explodes the problem is finding enough Blazers defenders (especially on the road) to stop Curry, Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and all the other Warriors’ weapons.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Warriors -6.5
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