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Free Pick: Suns vs. Pelicans Odds
Looking for Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Suns taking on the Pelicans on 12/27 at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Suns Pelicans free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans
(17-13) Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans (8-24)
Date: Dec 27, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: The Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Suns -220 | Pelicans +200 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Suns -5.5| Pelicans +5.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 238.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog home team, New Orleans, as outlined in my Suns-Pelicans free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Suns vs. Pelicans Gameday
This is the second game of a baseball back-to-back set as the Phoenix Suns and New Orleans Pelicans go to battle for the second day in-a-row.
Phoenix won the front side of the set 115-108. Four Suns scored in double figures, including Devin Booker, who led his Suns with 30 points. Mark Williams registered a double-double of 24 points and 13 rebounds.
Four Pelicans scored in double figures, but Trey Murphy III (19 points) was the only starter to reach that zenith. Zion Williamson was the high man with 20 points, eight rebounds, and six assists as he continued to come in off the bench.
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Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds & Last 5
This is the third meeting between the clubs this season, with the Suns leading the series 2-0. Last year, the squads played three times, with the Pelicans prevailing 2-1 in the set.
Phoenix is dealing with a tough schedule segment and enters this contest with a 3-2 record through the last five matches. The Suns currently hold the seventh seed with a record of 17-13.
In contrast, New Orleans may still be cellar dwellers, but they’ve finally gotten a bit healthier and are reaping the benefits of that with a 3-2 record through the last five (they had won five in a row). They sit in the 14th slot with a record of 8-24.
Entering this matchup, the Suns are 5.5-point favorites to win with an over/under of 238.5 points.
Suns Stats
Phoenix ranks 13th offensively (114.5) and 12th defensively (113.7) while sitting 15th in net rating (+0.8) and ranks 22nd in pace (99.87).
The West’s seventh seed averages 114.9 points per game while its opponents average 113.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averages 25.5 (20th) and 41.9 (24th), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* are Devin Booker for scoring (25.4 points) and assists (6.6), Mark Williams for rebounds (8.0) and blocks (0.9), and Grayson Allen for steals (1.7).
As a team, the Suns shoot 36.4% from the perimeter with five players who average between 39.2% and 100.0%.
*Minimum 10 games played
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Pelicans Stats
New Orleans ranks 25th (112.0) on offense and 27th on defense (118.9). Additionally, the Pelicans hold the 26th-ranked net rating (-6.8) and also run the ninth-quickest pace (101.82).
The West’s 14-place Pelicans average 115.5 points per game while their opponents average 122.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New Orleans averages 24.9 (24th) and 43.3 (22nd), respectively.
New Orleans’ team leaders* are Zion Williamson for scoring (21.8), Derik Queen for assists (4.1) and rebounds (6.8), Trey Murphy III for steals (1.7), and Yves Missi for blocks (1.1).
As for the perimeter, there are four Pelicans who shoot between 36.6% and 50% while the team averages 34.4% from deep.
*minimum 10 games
Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans bottom line:
In the loss on Friday, the Pelicans were right in the fight even in clutch time, but the key to the loss came at the charity stripe. New Orleans missed 17 free throws, shooting 25 of 42.
Had they connected on even half of the shots they missed, the outcome would have been different, and no doubt James Borrego will have his squad at the line during shooting practice to try to correct that issue.
Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Basketball Betting Trends
- Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Phoenix’s last 15 games when playing in New Orleans.
- Phoenix is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games against New Orleans.
- Also, New Orleans is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans’ last 15 games.
- Additionally, New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Suns Pelicans Free Pick: Pelicans +5.5
Here is my Suns Pelicans free pick. So, Zion Williamson continues to serve a reserve role, and it does pay dividends as he helps the players around him. While he’s not starting, he’s still playing a bunch with the core group.
Perimeter shooting was abysmal in the front side match with the Suns shooting 8 of 40 (20%) while the Pelicans shot 5 of 25 (20%). If either team can find the range it will offer a huge advantage.
As for injuries, Grayson Allen and Koby Brea are game time decisions, while Jalen Green is out. New Orleans could welcome back Herb Jones (game time decision) while Dejounte Murray remains out.
I’m rolling with the Pelicans again, even though the Suns should shoot better from deep on Saturday after their off night Friday. I just feel like it’s so difficult to win back-to-back sets against the same team, and even if Phoenix wins, I see the Pels keeping it close.
Therefore, take the points and the Pelicans in this contest.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
have we ever mentioned how awesome DQ & Trey lobs are pic.twitter.com/ujzRaV3aey
— New Orleans Pelicans (@PelicansNBA) December 27, 2025
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