Free Pick: Thunder vs. Pacers Odds
Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Pacers on 10/23 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Pacers free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs Indiana Pacers
(1-0) OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers (0-0)
Date: Oct 23, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
NBA Moneyline Odds: Thunder -300 | Pacers +245 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Thunder -7.5 | Pacers +7.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 230.5
Here’s why I’m backing the Thunder to cover the spread below in my Thunder Pacers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Thunder vs. Pacers Gameday
Night three of the NBA season rolls in with the two teams that competed in the NBA Finals last summer. OKC arrives having won on opening night, albeit via a double-overtime effort, while this marks the first game of 2025-26 for the Pacers.
Granted, this won’t be another competitive match like we witnessed in June, given the absence of Tyrese Haliburton and a slew of players on the injured list for OKC.
Still, Indy will be amped to get their own revenge for losing to the Thunder in the finals and prove they shouldn’t be ignored.
Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous Alexander and Co. are eager to manifest streaks are made to be broken, such as the fact that no team has repeated as champions for the past seven seasons!
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers NBA matchup.
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OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Thunder took both meetings against the Pacers before beating them to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy via their Game 7 Finals victory.
OKC was 4-2 in the preseason but has yet to welcome Jalen Williams back on the court following offseason surgery.
Indiana was 2-2 in the preseason, having elected to play a smaller schedule. That may be because Indiana will play a Western Conference heavy schedule to start the season, facing nine Western squads (of their first 12 games).
Thunder Stats
The defending champions held the seventh-best defensive rating last season (105.3), combined with a modest 26th-ranked offense (105.5), so there is definitely room for growth in the latter area.
In addition, they held the 14th-best net rating (+0.2) running a pace of 103.8, also ranking 14th overall.
Reigning Finals and regular season MVP, Gilgeous-Alexander had a lackluster preseason but showcased he’s still got the moxie to pull out the win when the lights are brightest. On opening night, he took over in the fourth quarter and overtime frames, finishing with 35 points, five rebounds, five assists, and four stocks.
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Pacers Stats
Last season, the Pacers ranked 18th offensively (109.5), 26th defensively (115.8), with the 25th net rating of -6.3. Given how frequently the Pacers push the ball ahead in transition, it’s surprising they had the 17th-ranked pace (103.3).
OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers bottom line: Injuries play a large role in this matchup, given who and how many are out. While the Thunder injury report is stacked, it’s the Pacers who’ll suffer more without Haliburton and backup T.J. McConnell.
Andrew Nembhard has done a great job with the starters, but the Pacers struggled in preseason matches when he sat, and the backup point guard duties fell to youngster Taelon Peter.
OKC Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers Basketball Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City’s last 9 games.
- In their last 5 outings, the Thunder is 4-1 SU.
- OKC is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Indiana.
- Also, the Pacers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, Indiana is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games played in October.
Thunder Pacers Free Pick: Thunder -7.5
Here is my Thunder Pacers free pick. OKC shook off the emotional rust of receiving their rings and raising the franchise’s first banner to take down another Western favorite (Rockets) on opening night. This should be a cake walk in comparison.
With so many Thunder players on the injured list SGA will need to carry the load but look for x-factors to make a mark including Cason Wallace if he plays.
SGA’s counterattacker will be Pascal Siakam, but he’s missing far too many key contributors to make this a fair fight.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Thunder injury report vs Pacers
OUT
Jalen Williams
Alex Caruso
Isaiah Joe
Nikola Topic
Thomas Sorber
Kenrich WilliamsQuestionable
Lu Dort (ankle)
Cason Wallace (knee)Indy, get ready to learn Brooks Barnhizer.
— Brandon Rahbar (@BrandonRahbar) October 22, 2025
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