OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick & NBA Betting Prediction, 11/9/25

Free Pick: Thunder vs. Grizzlies Odds

Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Grizzlies on 11/9 at FedEx Forum in Memphis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Grizzlies free pick.

2025 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

(9-1) OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies (4-6)
Date: Nov 9, 2025
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Venue: FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN
NBA Moneyline Odds: Thunder -385 | Grizzlies +274 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Thunder -10.5 | Grizzlies +10.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 233.5

Here’s why I’m backing the favored OKC below in my Pacers Grizzlies free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.

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 Thunder vs. Grizzlies Gameday

With seven games on tap for Sunday, the OKC Thunder travels to Tennessee to face the Memphis Grizzlies.

OKC finally lost a game, but got right back on track, besting the Kings on Friday, while the Grizzlies beat the Mavericks.

This is the last of a four-game road trip for OKC, while Memphis is finishing up a brief homestand before hitting the road for nine of its next 11 games.

We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies NBA matchup.

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OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds & Last 5

Head-to-head last season, the Thunder swept the four-game series and holds a current nine-game win streak versus the Grizzlies.

On the season, OKC is 9-1 with their lone loss to the Blazers, while the Grizzlies are 4-6 as they’ve struggled out of the gate.

The Thunder are favored by 10.5 points with an over/under of 235.5.

 Thunder Stats

Ten games into the season, the stats are beginning to show the identity of each team, and with that, OKC ranks sixth (118.3) on offense and first on defense (104.8).  Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+13.6) and run the 22nd-ranked pace (100.22).

Injuries have hit OKC, but their depth has allowed them to not miss a beat. For example, the Thunder ranks fifth in field goal attempts, first in defensive rebounding, second in steals, and second in fewest turnovers.

Grizzlies Stats

The Grizzlies rank 25th offensively (111.5), 20th defensively (115.5), with the 22nd-ranked net rating of (-4.0), and run the fifth-fastest pace (103.15).

The paint is a real issue for the Grizzlies, who rank 20th in offensive rebounding and 24th in blocks.

OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies bottom line: With Memphis missing both Zach Edey and Brandon Clarke, the Grizzlies are missing some size, but the side benefit is that it offers more shooting options to run with Morant.

That said, the Thunder have so much depth that, arguably, many of their bench players could be starting on many other teams.

OKC Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies Basketball Betting Trends

• Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games.
• Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.
• Also, Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis’ last 6 games.
• Additionally, Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

 Thunder Grizzlies Free Pick: Thunder -10.5

Here is my Thunder Grizzlies free pick. The situation in Memphis is caustic with Ja Morant and coach Tuomas Iisalo seemingly on different pages. Morant hasn’t held back his disenchantment with the new system or his role in it, which can’t help but spill over into the locker room and on the court.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is right back in the MVP race as he’s averaging 33 points, five rebounds, six assists, a steal and 1.2 blocks per game.

Although 10.5 points seems like a big stretch, the Thunder got Chet Holmgren back and are due for one of their infamous blowout victories.

Today’s NBA Free Pick

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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in games resting the 4th (FIVE/10 games)

30.2 PPG
6.8 APG (1.6 TOPG)
2 STOCKS per game
61.2 FG%
42.9 3PT%
97.2 FT%
29.3 MPG

Insane production. pic.twitter.com/Ag1si9ASOb

— 🌩️ (@twowayshai) November 8, 2025

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About Tamberlyn Richardson

The Queen of the NBA is based in Toronto, Canada. Past work includes roles as the Managing Editor of Sixteen Wins A Ring. and Thunderous Intentions as well as a featured columnist for ESPN True Hoop Affiliate, Raptors Republic. Stay tuned for winning NBA predictions night after night!

Filed Under: NBA Basketball