OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick & NBA Betting Prediction, 12/2/25

Free Pick: Thunder vs. Warriors Odds

Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Warriors on 12/2 at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Warriors free pick.

2025 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs Golden State Warriors

(19-1) OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors (11-10)
Date: Dec 2, 2025
Time: 11:00 PM ET
Venue: The Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Thunder-600 | Warriors +425 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Thunder -11.5| Warriors +11.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 221.5

Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Golden State as outlined in my Thunder Warriors free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.

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Thunder vs. Warriors Gameday

Tuesday offers a six-game slate of matches, including the OKC Thunder travelling to San Francisco to play the Golden State Warriors.

OKC arrives having extended its winning streak to 12 in a row following its victory over the Blazers on Sunday, while the Warriors played Saturday, defeating the Pelicans.

We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors NBA matchup.

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OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Odds & Last 5

Last season, the Warriors were one of the few teams that defeated the Thunder twice (Wolves, Rockets, Nuggets, Mavericks). They’ll play a total of four times this season, with OKC already up 1-0 in the series.

Golden State is struggling, and now Steph Curry is out with a quad strain. The Dubs are 2-3 through their last five games and sit in eighth place with an 11-10 record.

OKC is on fire with a single loss this season, already leading the closest opponent by 4.5 games (Lakers). The Thunder are 20-1 and have the best record in the association.

Thunder Stats

OKC ranks fifth offensively (118.9), first defensively (103.6), and also first in net rating (+15.3), running a pace of 100.93, which ranks 15th overall.

The Thunder are averaging 122.2 points per game while their opponents average 106.7 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 26.2 (13th) and 45.0 (10th), respectively.

Warriors Stats

With 21 games in the well, Golden State ranks 23rd (113.0) on offense and seventh on defense (111.8). Additionally, the Dubs hold the 16th-ranked net rating (+1.3) and run the 14th quickest pace (100.98).

The West’s eighth seed averages 114.5 points per game while their opponents average 113.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Golden State averages 27.4 (8th) and 43.0 (tied 20th), respectively.

OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors bottom line: Despite how well the Dubs played the Thunder last season, they’ll have a hard time replicating that effort, especially without Steph available.

Moreover, Jimmy Butler is questionable with a left gluteal contusion, and if he can’t go, it leaves the Warriors very thin on talent.

OKC Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Basketball Betting Trends

• Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games when playing at Golden State.
• Oklahoma City is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
• Also, Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State’s last 12 games against OKC.
• Additionally, Golden State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.

Thunder Warriors Free Pick: Warriors -11.5

Here is my Thunder Warriors free pick. Jalen Williams made his return for the Thunder, and while he’s looked rusty, he makes a difference, particularly on defense.

OKC is the deeper club and are feasting on both sides of the court but the biggest advantage may come via turnovers as the Warriors cough up the ball 16.2 times on average (25th) while the Thunder rank second with just 12.7 times.

His presence defensively made an immediate impact; per John Schuhmann, opponents scored just 104.2 points per 100 possessions in his 63 minutes on court.

Take the Thunder to win but also pick up the points and the Warriors to keep it closer than 11.5 points.

Today’s NBA Free Pick

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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day

HBD to the funniest person we know 🤣 pic.twitter.com/aqQ07HGB6S

— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) December 2, 2025

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About Tamberlyn Richardson

The Queen of the NBA is based in Toronto, Canada. Past work includes roles as the Managing Editor of Sixteen Wins A Ring. and Thunderous Intentions as well as a featured columnist for ESPN True Hoop Affiliate, Raptors Republic. Stay tuned for winning NBA predictions night after night!

Filed Under: NBA Basketball