Free Pick: Wolves vs. Pelicans Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Wolves taking on the Pelicans on 12/4 at the Target Center in San Francisco. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Wolves Pelicans free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans
(13-8) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans (3-19)
Date: Dec 4, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Wolves -600 | Pelicans +425 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Wolves -11.5| Pelicans +11.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 233.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored Minnesota as outlined in my Wolves Pelicans free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Wolves vs. Pelicans Gameday
Thursday serves up a full slate of matches, including the Minnesota Timberwolves versus the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Wolves and Pelicans are completing a baseball set in New Orleans, with Minnesota already up 1-0, having won in overtime on Tuesday.
Anthony Edwards led his squad, scoring on five of eight 3-point attempts in the second half while scoring 44 points. Julius Randle was also key to the victory, dropping eight points just in the overtime period.
Trey Murphy III was the top producer for the Pelicans with 33 points. New Orleans has the worst record in the NBA and has lost 13 of their last 14 matches.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds & Last 5
This is the second of four meetings between the clubs, with the Wolves up 1-0. Last year, Minnesota won this matchup, winning two of the three matches in the regular season series.
Minnesota sits in sixth in the West with a 13-8 record. In contrast, the Pelicans are 3-19 through 22 matches and reside in the cellar of the Western Conference.
Minny has won three contests in a row while the Pelicans have lost four in-a-row.
Entering this matchup, the Wolves are 11.5 favorites to win with an over/under of 233.5 points.
Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks sixth on offense (118.4) and 13th on defense (113.6). Additionally, the Nuggets hold the sixth-ranked net rating (+4.7) and run the 18th-ranked pace (100.72).
The West’s second-place Nuggets average 26.5 assists (12th) and 43.3 rebounds (20th). Denver scores 120.6 points per game while their opponents average 115.4 points.
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Pelicans Stats
New Orleans ranks 26th (110.5) on offense and 29th on defense (120.7). Additionally, the Pelicans hold the 28th-ranked net rating (-10.2) and run the 19th-quickest pace (100.59).
The West’s last-place Pelicans average 112.6 points per game while their opponents average 123.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New Orleans averages 23.4 (29th) and 42.6 (24th), respectively.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans bottom line: Minnesota got caught playing with their food in the last match versus New Orleans, so they won’t make that mistake again.
In the initial meeting, the Wolves were forced into overtime and the Pelicans played far better than their 3-19 record. Suffice it to say, the timing of this game is the perfect elixir to rinse away the bad taste the Wolves have in their mouth from the recent inconsistencies and mindfulness of who they’re playing.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans Basketball Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 11 games.
- Minnesota is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
- Also, New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’ last 5 games.
- Additionally, New Orleans is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games.
Wolves Pelicans Free Pick: Wolves -11.5
Here is my Wolves Pelicans free pick. Although I typically shy away from huge spreads, there are always exceptions to the rule. And, in this case, the timing of this matchup is key because the Wolves will be looking to make a statement in terms of the distance between these two clubs.
Minnesota has no reported injuries, but the Pels are limping into this match with six players listed as day-to-day, including Dejounte Murray (torn Achilles tendon), Jordan Poole (quadriceps strain), Zion Williamson (adductor soreness), Herb Jones (lower back pain), and Yves Missi (right ankle soreness).
Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.8 points, 4.5 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.2 steals and shooting 41.3% from deep.
After this game in New Orleans, the Timberwolves will play seven of their next eight matches at home. Clearly, Minny can’t look past this match as they’ll be able to potentially gain on the teams ahead of them in the standings.
Still keep an eye on the Wolves as the trade deadline begins because they are in desperate need of a starting point guard.
Regardless, I’ll take the Wolves to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Anthony Edwards after playing almost 36 consecutive minutes in the OT win over the New Orleans Pelicans pic.twitter.com/LnxxDlWMVV
— Timberwolves Clips (@WolvesClips) December 3, 2025
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