Free NBA Pick: Timberwolves vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Timberwolves taking on the Heat on Monday, December 18th, at Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Timberwolves Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat
(19-5) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat (15-11)
Date: Monday, December 18th
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Timberwolves -121| Heat -101 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Wolves -1.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 220
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The Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road to face the Miami Heat for the second and final time this season. Minnesota won the initial contest 106-90 on October 28th.
Both clubs last played Saturday with the Wolves defeating the Pacers 127-109 while the Heat defeated the Bulls 118-116 via Jimmy Butler’s walk-off game-winner.
Season Series
Miami holds the all-time record having won 35 of the 67 meetings between the clubs although last season the clubs split their two-game regular-season series each winning at home.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minny’s superstars led the way in Saturday’s victory with Karl-Anthony Towns dropping a double-double of 40 points and 12 rebounds while Anthony Edwards scored 37 points.
Although the Pacers lead the association on offense it was the Wolves who feasted Saturday posting 127 points. They were particularly hot from deep shooting 60 percent (18 of 30).
Chris Finch’s game plan allowed the Pacers in the paint (where they scored 70 points!) but shut them down everywhere else.
Wolves Stats
The Wolves are 11-1 at home and 8-4 on the road. As a favorite Minnesota is 16-2 and is a decent bet against the spread with a 13-10-1 record through 24 games this season.
Minnesota ranks 17th offensively (113.9), and first overall defensively (1o6.6) with a plus +7.3 net differential that ranks third overall.
Wolves Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Anthony Edwards, SG (questionable —hip)
- Jaden McDaniels, PF (questionable—tailbone)
- Jaylen Clarke, SF (downgraded to OUT —Achilles)
- Josh Minott, PF (questionable —illness)
Miami Heat
Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo were out Saturday marking their 18th and seventh consecutive missed games respectively which has put more pressure on the core.
On Saturday, Jimmy Butler put the team on his back offering 28 points including that game-winner. Caleb Martin (17 points), Kyle Lowry (10 points), Jaime Jaquez Jr. (18), and Kevin Love (22) were the other double-digit contributors.
Ironically, the Heat lost most of the main categories but forced more turnovers by the Bulls and outscored them 44-34 in the paint.
Heat Stats
As an underdog, the Heat are 3-7 and are 3-9 against the spread at home. Miami ranks 13th offensively (115.3), and also 13th defensively (114.0) with a plus net differential of +1.3 which ranks 15th overall.
Unlike their opponent, the Heat isn’t as strong of a bet against the spread with an 11-15 record through 26 matches.
Heat Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kyle Lowry, PG (OUT Monday — rest)
- Bam Adebayo, C (upgraded to probable Monday — hip)
- Tyler Herro, SG (upgraded to probable—ankle)
- Dru Smith, SG (OUT for the season — knee)
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Timberwolves vs. Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Wolves are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Also, Minnesota is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.
- By comparison, Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games at home.
Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
Adebayo and Herro were upgraded to probable for this match which means the Heat will finally have their core healthy. Typically at the quarter-season mark, a team has shown who they are but it’s impossible to rely on the Heat’s current rankings because this duo has missed so many games.
Still, the Wolves are for real, and as I noted recently are in a brutal schedule stint where they are playing 16 consecutive opponents with records above .500 (so far they are 2-1).
Ultimately the sheer size of Minny will present issues for Miami, even with Adebayo back.
4* Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: Wolves ATS
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) December 17, 2023
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