Free Pick: Bucks vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Bucks taking on the Wolves on 12/21 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Bucks Wolves free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(11-17) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (18-10)
Date: Dec 21, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Bucks +405| Wolves -625 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Bucks +11.5 | Wolves -11.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 222.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favorite Minnesota as outlined in my Bucks Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Bucks vs. Wolves Gameday
Sunday offers a small slate of six matches, including the Milwaukee Bucks facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Milwaukee last played Thursday in a 105-111 loss to the Toronto Raptors. Giannis Antetokounmpo remained out, and the Bucks didn’t have an answer, particularly in the final frame and clutch time.
Four Bucks scored in double figures, including Kevin Porter Jr. (22), Myles Turner (21), Bobby Portis (24), and Ryan Rollins (17). While the Bucks shot 40.5% from deep, the Raptors applied lockdown defense in clutch time to deliver the loss.
Meanwhile, the Wolves played on Friday in a contest that ranks among the best of the year so far. Chris Finch didn’t like how the whistle was blowing and got tossed early in the first quarter.
His team responded playing with a vengeance, pouring on the pressure. Minny took the lead late on Gobert’s missed free throw that they rebounded and used to get up another shot. It was just the third loss by the Thunder this season.
Six Wolves registered double-doubles as Anthony Edwards served up 26 points, including the go-ahead 3-pointer to win the game.
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the conference rivals played twice, with the Bucks winning both contests. This is the first meeting between the squads this season.
Over the last five games, the Bucks are 1-4 as they struggle to win without their superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo and deal with the trade rumors that keep swirling. Milwaukee holds the 11th seed in the East with an 11-17 record.
Minnesota has gone under the radar and enters this match sporting an 18-10 record, sitting in the sixth seed (tied for fifth with Houston). They are 8-2 through the last 10 and 3-2 through the last five despite missing Anthony Edwards for three of those contests.
Entering this matchup, the Wolves are 11.5 favorites to win with an over/under of 222.5 points.
Bucks Stats
Milwaukee ranks 20th on offense (113.2), 21st on defense (116.9), and has the 22nd-best net rating (-3.7) while they rank 25th in pace (99.63).
The East’s 11th seed averages 113.6 points per game while their opponents average 117.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Milwaukee averages 26.7 (11th) and 39.3 (30th), respectively.
Milwaukee’s team leaders* in key categories are Giannis Antetokounmpo in scoring (28.9) and rebounding (10.1), Kevin Porter Jr. for assists (7.6) and steals (2.1), while Myles Turner leads for blocks (1.5).
Seven Bucks shoot over 37.1% from the perimeter (four others shoot over 40% but haven’t played in 10 games yet). As a team, the Bucks shoot 40.4% from deep, ranking first in the association.
*minimum 10 games played
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks eighth offensively (117.1), 10th defensively (112.7), and eighth in net rating (+4.5), running a pace of 100.84, which ranks 17th overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.3 assists (12th) and 44.3 rebounds (16th). Minny scores 119.2 points per game while their opponents average 114.3 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (28.5 points) and steals (1.3), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (10.6) and blocks (1.5), and Julius Randle for assists (5.7).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.5% from deep with seven players shooting above 36.6%.
*minimum 10 games
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line: Anthony Edwards made a triumphant return to the court, taking down the best team in the league, and will carry that momentum into this match.
Antetokounmpo won’t be back, however, as he continues to be sidelined with the calf injury. That poses a massive problem for Milwauke,e which will be hard-pressed to deal with the size of the Wolves.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Milwaukee is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games.
- Milwaukee is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
- Also, Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games played on a Sunday.
Bucks Wolves Free Pick: Wolves -11.5
Here is my Thunder Wolves free pick.
The spread is massive, but the Wolves are on a major high, having taken down the Thunder in a battle that felt like playoff basketball rather than a mid-season affair.
Much will depend on how Milwaukee shoots the ball from deep, which is their only true option to stay in this contest. That will be a tough prospect given that the Wolves have the ninth-best perimeter defense.
Minnesota has been playing its best basketball and feels primed to make a move up the ladder. And, while I typically shy away from double-digit spreads, I like how the Wolves are playing, so I’ll take them to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
GOODNIGHT. 💤 pic.twitter.com/5Sv2auz4mA
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) December 20, 2025
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