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Free NBA Pick: Bucks vs Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Bucks taking on the Heat on Saturday December 22, 2018 at American Airlines Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Bucks Heat matchup.
(21-9) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat (14-16)
Date: Saturday December 22
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL.
NBA Moneyline Odds: OFF
NBA Betting Odds: Bucks -4.5
NBA Betting Total: 216½
Live NBA Odds
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Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks are winning seventy percent of their games this season, which they have done just six times in their history: four seasons in a row from 1970-’71 to 1973-’74 and then in 1981 and 1985.
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar was obviously the team’s best player in that run of the seventies. Marques Johnson and Sidney Moncrief led those two teams of the ’80s in player WAR.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo fits right in there with those names, at least at this point, still so early in his NBA career. He’s enjoying, arguably, his finest season yet.
The Greek Freak’s minutes are down slightly from a year ago, which is all good for Milwaukee. His scoring is down proportionally and his turnovers are up (from 3.0 a year ago to 4.4 this year).
But his rebounding is up. For the first time in his career, he’s averaging double-digit defensive rebounds per game and 12.9 per game, total. His efficiency is up, too, despite taking more threes than ever before (2.3 per game) and making them at the worse rate in his career (12.5 percent).
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A 66.2 percentage from two takes care of that. Still, the three-point shooting has to be a concern for Milwaukee. He’s curbed the attempts a bit of late and hasn’t taken one in two of his last three games, but this was supposed to be another year of improved outside shooting. That he’s taken a step back won’t fill Bucks fans with confidence.
Miami Heat
Miami got forty points, combined, from its starting backcourt, Tyler Johnson and Josh Richardson on Thursday and held the Rockets under 100 to cool Houston down and win the third in a row, itself.
Derrick Jones Jr. chipped in fifteen off the bench as he continues his stellar play and Miami inched closer in the NBA’s worst division, getting within a game of first-place (and .500) Charlotte.
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Wayne Ellington played just five minutes, the game after not playing at all, which came after another game of just five minutes. He’s been battling some injuries and missed a couple games with a personal issue but it’s unclear why his minutes have been so inconsistent over the last few weeks.
Justise Winslow didn’t play against Houston with an ankle injury and, of course, Goran Dragic has just started to recover from knee surgery that will keep him out until February or March.
Winslow could prove valuable in this game against the Greek Freak, in addition to Bam Adebayo, who actually leads this year’s Heat team in WAR. Last year, I noted that he looked like the ideal sort of defender to slow down Antetokounmpo.
NBA Betting Trends:
- MIA are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Sat. games.
- MIA are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Over is 9-4 in MIA last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 7-1 in MIL last 8 overall.
- Over is 13-3 in MIL last 16 Sat. games.
- MIL are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southeast.
- Head to Head: Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Miami.
- Head to Head: Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction: Milwaukee.
Miami played the Bucks tough last season but Milwaukee is a little better and Miami a little worse. I think it stays close enough but I’ve got Milwaukee.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Bucks ATS
NBA Free Score Prediction: Milwaukee 111 – Miami 104
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