Free NBA Pick: Bucks vs Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Bucks taking on the Nuggets on Sunday, November 11, 2018 at the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Bucks Nuggets matchup.
(9-2) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets (9-3)
Date: Sunday, November 11, 2018
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado
NBA Moneyline Odds: OFF
NBA Betting Odds: Denver -2.5
NBA Betting Total: 220
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Who would’ve thought that a contest between the Milwaukee Bucks and Denver Nuggets almost an entire month into the 2018-19 NBA season would be a battle between two of the hottest teams the league has to offer?
These two face off Sunday evening in Denver, Colorado.
The Bucks are facing a team on Sunday night that has become the league’s best defense. Luckily for Milwaukee, coach Mike Budenholzer has created the perfect system around Giannis Antetokounmpo to counter Denver’s stout D.
So far this season, the Bucks—for certain stretches, at least—have been the NBA’s best three-point shooting team. No, GIannis Antetokounmpo still can’t hit the deep ball with any sort of consistency, but he’s a nearly 7-foot point-forward who can create for others.
For the Bucks to find success against Denver’s defense, Antetokounmpo will need to get to the rim. By doing so, he’ll open up plenty of opportunities to drive and kick, which will establish his shooters early.
If he’s able to get to the rim but his shooters aren’t able to connect (likely due to quick switches and physical defense from Denver), he’ll have the luxury of going up against a weak defender at the cup in Nikola Jokic.
This isn’t a knock on Jokic overall; he’s one of the game’s best centers at just 23 years old. It’s just that he’s yet to prove he has the physicality and timing to regularly contest players at the rim—let alone The Greek Freak.
Although it goes without saying after the aforementioned section, Denver must get out on the perimeter. Specifically, though, they need to rotate as they collapse on Giannis—and they need to eliminate space from shooters.
Although tempting to leave some space between yourself (as a defender) and a shooter to avoid a subsequent drive, Denver’s defenders need to be in the grills and on the chests of Milwaukee’s perimeter players.
If the Nuggets can do that, they’ll take the Bucks out of their element.
If the Nuggets can do that, their offense won’t have to do nearly as much as other offenses have to do when keeping up with Milwaukee’s three-point attack.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Over is 8-1 in MIL last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 28-7 in MIL last 35 overall.
- MIL are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- DEN are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Under is 8-3-1 in DEN last 12 overall.
- Under is 8-3-1 in DEN last 12 games as a favorite.
- Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
Denver enters this game as a 2.5-point favorite, but as good as their defense has been, we have to give the Bucks, who have the best player on the court, more credit than that.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Milwaukee Bucks ATS
We’re not saying this is going to be an easy one for the Bucks, but we are saying they are going to be a good upset pick Sunday night.
Give the Bucks a close win—both against the spread and straight up.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks 108 – Denver Nuggets 105
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