Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Pistons NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat Vs. Detroit Pistons free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Pistons on Wednesday, November 22 at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Pistons matchup.
2021 NBA Handicapping
(11-6) Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons (4-12)
Date: Wednesday, November 22
Time: 07:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Little Caesars Arena Detroit, Detroit, Michigan
NBA Moneyline Odds: Heat -450 Pistons 360 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -8.0 Pistons 8.0
NBA Betting Total: 205.5
This game will be the first meeting between these two teams. Last season, the Heat won the series by a mark of 2-1. Between the three games, Miami outscored Detroit by a margin of just one point.
The largest margin of defeat came in game one, with the Pistons winning by a score of 120-100.
Miami Heat
The Miami Heat enter today’s game having won 5 of their past 10 games. When playing away from home the Heat have won exactly half of their games, going 5-5.
As the road team, the Heat travel to Detroit with a positive plus-minus of rating 3.6 points.
Overall, Miami is ranked 3rd among NBA teams in point differential (-1.1). Among NBA teams they have played the 2nd toughest schedule.
For bettors, taking the Miami Heat to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they are covering the spread in 70.60% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 4.9.
On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PF Jimmy Butler. So far, Butler is averaging 25.14 points per game. This output places him first in his position group.
The Heat’s best three-point shooter has been Duncan Robinson, connecting on 2.94 shots from downtown per game.
Bam Adebayo has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 10.64 boards per game.
Detroit Pistons
The Detroit Pistons enter today’s game having lost 2 straight games. This losing streak is part of a larger trend of below .500 basketball. In their last 10 games, the team has a record of 3-7.
This has come while playing the 22nd toughest schedule.
As they take on the Heat at home, the Pistons have a negative home plus-minus of -7.3 points. Overall the Pistons are ranked 27th among NBA teams in point differential (-4.5).
For bettors, taking the Detroit Pistons to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they are covering the spread in 43.80% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -2.7.
On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF Jerami Grant. So far, Grant is averaging 19.27 points per game
Grant is also the team’s best three-point shooter, connecting on 1.93 shots from downtown per game.
Isaiah Stewart has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 7.06 boards per game.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Pistons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
- Pistons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
Free Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons NBA Prediction
With the Heat coming in as 8 point favorites, I am looking to take Detroit to cover the spread at home. I also like this contest to go over its line of 205.5.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Detroit Pistons +8
A big reason why this game has such a low over-under total is the fact that both of these teams prefer to play at a slow pace. When playing other slow-paced teams, the Heat games average 5 fewer possessions than expected.
However, I like this game to go over and for Detroit to keep it close as the Heat have a tendency to play down to their competition on defense. On average, bad offensive teams score an extra 3 points per possession against Miami.
On offense, Detroit tends to perform better against quality defensive teams. In these scenarios, they score three points above expectation. However, this hasn’t helped their win percentage as they come out on top just 21% of the time.
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