Free Pick: Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for Memphis Grizzlies vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Grizzlies taking on the Thunder on 12/22 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Grizzlies Thunder free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Memphis Grizzlies vs. OKC Thunder
(13-15) Memphis Grizzlies vs. OKC Thunder (25-3)
Date: Dec 22, 2025
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
NBA Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +850 | Thunder -1400 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Grizzlies +16.5 | Thunder -16.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 229.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored Oklahoma City in my Grizzlies Thunder free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Gameday
Monday, December 22nd serves up just seven contests in the NBA featuring the Memphis Grizzlies facing the OKC Thunder.
Memphis last played on Saturday, losing to the lowly Washington Wizards 122-130. Five Grizzlies scored in double figures, led by Jaren Jackson Jr,. who offered 22 points, eight rebounds, three assists and two steals.
OKC played on Friday in a highly entertaining match versus the Minnesota Timberwolves, but came up short (107-112), losing their second game in three opportunities.
Five Thunder players scored in double digits, with MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way with 35 points, five rebounds, seven assists, two steals, and two blocks.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
OKC has owned a few teams during this stretch of their ascent up the West, but none more so than the Grizzlies. To wit, in the last two seasons, they’ve swept the Grizzlies and won the initial meeting this season, adding to their current 10-game win streak versus Memphis.
The Grizzlies are 3-2 through their last five matches and possess a 13-15 record on the season to sit in the ninth seed in the West, a half-game out of eighth.
Meanwhile, OKC has finally fallen a little bit back to earth, losing two of their last three matches for a 3-2 record in their last five matches. They still possess the best record in the association with just three losses on the season (25-3).
OKC is favored by a gaudy 16.5 points with an over/under of 229.5 points.
Grizzlies Stats
Memphis holds the 24th-ranked (112.5) offense, 13th-ranked defense (113.8), 18th-ranked net rating (-1.3), and 12th-ranked pace (101.41).
The Grizzlies are averaging 114.7 points per game while their opponents average 115.7 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averages 28.9 (6th) and 46.4 (3rd), respectively.
Memphis’ team leaders* are Jaren Jackson for scoring (18.0), Ja Morant for assists (7.5), Zach Edey for rebounds (11.1) and blocks (1.9), while Santi Aldama tops steals (0.9).
Perimeter shooting is a weakness for the Grizz as the club shoots 34.4% from deep while only two players shoot above 36.0%.
*minimum 10 games played
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (119.0) on offense and first on defense (103.2). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+15.8) and run the 10th-ranked pace (101.47).
The NBA’s top team averages 122.5 points per game while its opponents average 106.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 26.2 (tied for 13th) and 44.9 (tied for 11th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.5 points) as well as for assists (6.4), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.6), Cason Wallace for steals (2.4), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, six Thunder players shoot at least 39.6% with the team shooting 37.2 overall (tied for 5th).
*minimum 10 games
Memphis Grizzlies vs. OKC Thunder bottom line:
With the winter doldrums being a real thing, the Thunder have shown they are human with their recent losses. Still, don’t let that fool you into believing they are about to settle into mediocrity. Instead, expect the Thunder to come out focused and driven to make another statement as they get back to business.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis’ last 16 games.
- Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City’s last 9 games.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games.
Grizzlies Thunder Free Pick: Thunder -16.5
Here is my Grizzlies Thunder free pick. The spread is massive but a quick look at the injury report offers solid reasoning for why OKC is favored by 16.5 points.
Memphis won’t have Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, Vince Williams Jr., John Konchar, Zach Edey, “Javon Small, Ty Jerome, or Scotty Pippen Jr.
While the Thunder continue to post an outrageous net differential the crazy part of this equation is they’ve rarely had their starting five together so once they get back into a flow again expect the differential to climb even higher.
As for OKC, they too have a few players listed on the injury report, including Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, and Alex Caruso, who are game time decisions. In addition, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jaylin Williams, and Ousmane Dieng are out.
That said, I still wouldn’t hold your breath that OKC can’t cover the massive spread, given they average a net differential near the same mark as the spread. Additionally, the Thunder play on Tuesday in a back-to-back set, so they’ll be looking to wrap this match up early to rest the starters in preparation.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
De'Aaron Fox on facing the OKC Thunder on Tues: "It's going to be a dog fight. They're the best team in the league right now. And we obviously previously beat them, but regardless of who they play against, you know that they're going to come in, they're going to do what they do."… pic.twitter.com/XGhB7KjHYG
— JeffGSpursKENS5 (@JeffGSpursZone) December 22, 2025
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