Free NBA Pick: Rockets vs. Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Rockets taking on the Mavericks on Wednesday, November 16th, 2022 at American Airlines Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Rockets-Mavericks matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(2-12) Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks (8-5)
Date: Wednesday, November 16th, 2022
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
NBA Moneyline Odds: Rockets +310 | Mavericks -368 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: DAL -10
NBA Betting Total: 221
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The road Rockets come into this one coming off a 122-106 home loss to the Los Angeles Clippers. They entered that one 5-point underdogs in that one and have now failed to cover in two straight.
The home Mavericks come into this one off a thrilling 103-101 win over those same Clippers, also at America Airlines Center. They entered that one as 6.5-point favorites and have failed to cover in seven straight outings.
The Rockets and Mavericks have not faced off yet during the 2022-23 regular season, marking the first time these inter-state rivals meet Wednesday night.
Houston Rockets
On the year, Houston is scoring 109.6 points per contest, which puts the team in 24th as of this writing early Wednesday morning.
In terms of advanced stats, the Rockets score 105.4 points per 100 possessions. That number places them in 28th.
Defensively, this groups allows 118.1 points per night, putting them in 28th so far this season.
Looking at Defensive Efficiency, Houston gives up 114.9 points per 100 possessions—a number that ranks 29th on the year ahead of only the Detroit Pistons in dead last.
Coming into this one, Jae’Sean Tate is out after head coach Stephen Silas announced Monday that he’d be out for a couple more weeks.
Dallas Mavericks
On the year, the Mavericks are scoring 109.9 points per game. That number puts them in 22nd across the Association so far this season.
Looking at the advanced stats, they’re scoring 110.9 points per 100 possessions—a number that puts them in 9th, which is tied with the Brooklyn Nets.
Defensively, Dallas is giving up 106.7 points per night, which ranks 3rd through 13 games behind only the No. 2 Philadelphia 76ers and No. 1 Phoenix Suns.
Looking at Defensive Efficiency, the Mavericks give up 108.7 points per game, putting them in 12th across the Association and tying them with the uprising Utah Jazz.
Dallas’ injury report is unclear as of early Wednesday morning, but note that as of Tuesday, Maxi Kleber, Davis Bertans and starting center JaVale McGee were all listed as out.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Rockets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.
- Mavericks are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Mavericks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Dallas.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Free Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
ESPN’s Matchup Predictor favors Dallas 85.2 percent in this one compared to just 14.8 percent toward the Rockets.
If you ask me, that number isn’t far enough in the Mavericks’ favor.
When the final horn sounds in Dallas, this one shouldn’t even be close. Luka Doncic (arguably the favorite for MVP early in the new season) should have his way all night with Houston’s defense.
When we look back on the schedule at season’s end, this will be one of those forgettable games with what, on paper, will look like an unforgettable stat line from Cool Hand Luka.
Give this one to the home Mavericks, and give it to them by a wide margin.
A 10-point spread could look conservative when this one is all said and done.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: DAL -10
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