Free Pick: Warriors vs. Raptors Odds
Looking for Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Warriors taking on the Raptors on 12/28 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Warriors Raptors free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors
(16-15) Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors (18-14)
Date: Dec 28, 2025
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
NBA Moneyline Odds: Warriors -179 | Raptors +155 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Warriors -4.5 | Raptors +4.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 224.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Toronto, as outlined in my Warriors Raptors free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Warriors vs. Raptors Gameday
Sunday serves up a six-game slate of NBA action, including the Golden State Warriors visiting the Toronto Raptors.
Golden State last played on Christmas Day, trumping the Dallas Mavericks 126-116. In the victory, seven Warriors (three starters and four reserves) scored in double figures, led by Stephen Curry with 23 points. Jimmy Butler flirted with a triple-double, offering 14 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists.
Toronto played on Boxing Day, suffering arguably their worst loss this season as they got thumped 117-138 by the Wizards. Five Raptors scored in double figures, led by Brandon Ingram with 29, while Immanuel Quickley chipped in 25.
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Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Odds & Last 5
The teams split their two-game regular series the last two seasons and are meeting for the first time this campaign.
Golden State resides in the eighth seed out West with a 16-15 record while they are 3-2 through the last five matches, but have won three in-a-row.
Through the last five matches, the Raptors are 2-3 while they sit in fourth in the East with an 18-14 record. This match marks the start of a five-game home stand.
Golden State is favored by 4.5 points with an over/under of 224.5 points.
Warriors Stats
With 31 games in the well, Golden State ranks 21st (113.5) on offense and third on defense (111.0). Additionally, the Dubs hold the ninth-ranked net rating (+2.5) and run the 17th quickest pace (100.79).
The West’s eighth seed averages 114.5 points per game while their opponents average 112.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Golden State averages 28.0 (8th) and 44.0 (three-way tie for 19th), respectively.
Team leaders* for key categories are Stephen Curry for scoring (28.4), Jonathan Kuminga for rebounding (6.2), Draymond Green for assists (5.0), De’Anthony Melton for steals (1.6), and Al Horford for blocks (0.9).
As for the perimeter, the Dubs continue to rely on it, but perhaps not as much as in the past. They shoot 36.0% from deep as a team, with six players shooting 38.2% or better.
*Minimum 10 games played
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Raptors Stats
Toronto ranks 20th offensively (113.5) and seventh defensively (112.5) while they are tied for 13th in net rating (+1.0) and rank 23rd in pace (99.66).
The East’s fourth seed averages 113.5 points per game while its opponents average 112.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averages 29.3 (fifth) and 42.2 (24th), respectively.
Toronto’s team leaders are Brandon Ingram for scoring (21.9 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (6.4), and Scottie Barnes for rebounds (7.9), steals (1.3), and blocks (1.6).
As a team, the Raptors shoot 35.9% from the perimeter with five* players shooting over 36.2% from deep.
*minimum 10 games
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors bottom line:
While there aren’t the same level of old-fashioned rivalries in the modern NBA, these two clubs always bring the heat when they face each other.
Part of the reason is that Steph Curry spent some of his early years in Toronto because his dad, Dell, played for the Raptors, and he brings a competitive edge every time he’s back in the Six.
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Basketball Betting Trends
- Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State’s last 6 games.
- Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Toronto.
- Also, Toronto is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto’s last 7 games.
- Additionally, Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
Warriors Raptors Free Pick: Raptors +4.5
Here is my Warriors Raptors free pick. Toronto has struggled without two starters and is dealing with a flu outbreak in the lockerroom. Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett are sorely missed for their rim protection and cutting/slashing, respectively, but the latter should return during the home stand.
Neither team brings in an advantage based on venue with the fourth place Raptors being 8-7 at home while the Warriors are 6-11 on the road.
Two keys for this match will be perimeter scoring and who handles the paint and boards the best. Neither team excels at the latter, so whoever wins the glass likely wins the game.
If the flu hasn’t spread, the Raptors should be much better in this match, similarly to how they bounced back after the brutal loss to the Nets, beating the much better Heat.
For that reason, I’ll take the Raptors and specifically Scottie Barnes to make an impression in this match.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Check out the Open Gym presented by @Bell Holiday Special out now! 🎁
Watch now: https://t.co/HWBne8eRUn pic.twitter.com/TsNtehg0vp
— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) December 28, 2025
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