Free Pick: Warriors vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Warriors taking on the Thunder on 11/11 at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Thunder free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder
(6-5) Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder (10-1)
Date: Nov 11, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
NBA Moneyline Odds: Warriors +250 | Thunder -300 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Warriors +7.5 | Thunder -7.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 228
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Golden State in my Warriors Thunder free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Warriors vs. Thunder Gameday
Tuesday offers up a slate of six games, including the Golden State Warriors facing the OKC Thunder. Both clubs are vying for the top position in the West, with the latter owning that spot presently.
Golden State is dealing with a slew of injuries and illnesses as they arrive following a win versus the Pacers.
Meanwhile, the Thunder got right back on track after their loss to the Blazers, winning the last two matches, including against the Grizzlies on Sunday.
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder NBA matchup.
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Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Thunder rarely lost more than once versus any team, but the Warriors were one of four teams (Mavericks, Nuggets, Rockets) that prevailed in at least two meetings versus OKC.
Golden State is winning and losing to both elite and tanking teams with a 6-5 record. Meanwhile, the Thunder are returning from a four-game road trip sporting a 10-1 record.
Warriors Stats
Golden State ranks 19th offensively (114.0), seventh defensively (111.4), and 11th in net rating (2.6), running a pace of 100.86, which ranks 20th in the association.
The Dubs roll as Steph rolls, so not having him for three games was tough, as they lost all but the match versus the Pacers and have lost four of their last six matches.
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Thunder Stats
With a few games in the well, OKC ranks sixth (118.3) on offense and first on defense (104.8). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+13.6) and run the 22nd-ranked pace (100.22).
OKC continues to play to their identity, ranking fourth in field goals made, first in defensive rebounding, and ranks second in both steals and fewest turnovers.
Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder bottom line:
Much will depend on whether Steph Curry is over his illness and can return to the hardwood (Anthony Slater reports he’ll play).
Also, the Thunder are returning from a road trip where the first game back can typically be lackluster as teams subconsciously relax once back home.
Golden State Warriors vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Golden State’s last 13 games.
- Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Oklahoma City.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
Warriors Thunder Free Pick: Warriors +7.5
Here is my Warriors Thunder free pick. Ironically, these teams each have the same record against the spread (6-5). The difference is that the Dubs only win when they cover the spread versus the Thunder, who win in any scenario.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is off to a fire start averaging 33.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, 6.0 assists and 2.2 stocks per game.
Jalen Williams has yet to play for OKC, who’ve also missed Chet Holmgren and other contributors for individual matches, but they are winning regardless. Golden State, on the other hand, is suffering in games where they are missing a key cog – – especially when Steph Curry is out.
Given Curry is expected back for this meeting I’ll take the points and the Dubs but the Thunder to win.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
On this day one year ago, Steph dropped 36 in a win over the eventual champs in OKC.
Up until the last month of the season, Steph was the only player in the league to outscore Shai by double digits.
Warriors play Thunder next.
— WarriorsMuse (@WarriorsMuse) November 10, 2025
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