Free Pick: Warriors vs. Nets Odds
Looking for Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Warriors taking on the Nets on 12/29 at Barclays Arena in Brooklyn. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Warriors Nets free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets
(16-16) Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets (10-19)
Date: Dec 29, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Barclays Arena, Brooklyn, NY
NBA Moneyline Odds: Warriors -150 | Nets +143 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Warriors -3.5 | Nets +3.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 221
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown Brooklyn as per below in my Warriors Nets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Warriors vs. Nets Gameday
Two of the hottest teams in the NBA meet up on Monday as the Golden State Warriors are in town to play the suddenly sizzling Brooklyn Nets.
The Warriors are completing a back-to-back set, having coughed up a double-digit lead in clutch time, which resulted in overtime and the Raptors winning 141-127. Steph Curry was spectacular, posting 39 points, but was held scoreless in overtime.
Brooklyn last played on Saturday, shocking the Timberwolves 123-107 for their third win in a row. Six Nets scored in double figures, with Cam Thomas scoring 30 off the bench, while Michael Porter Jr. delivered a double-double of 27 points and 10 rebounds.
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Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the teams split their two-game series. This is the first of two meetings this season.
Golden State sits eighth in the West with a 16-16 record and had won three in a row prior to their loss in Toronto. They are riding the middle but will be looking to tweak the roster heading into the trade deadline.
Brooklyn has had the best defense in December and suddenly has flipped a switch with three wins in a row. The Nets still sit in 13th in the East with a 10-19 record – three games out of a play-in berth.
The Warriors are favored by 3.5 with an over/under of 221 points.
Warriors Stats
With 32 games in the well, Golden State ranks 21st (113.4) on offense and third on defense (111.5). Additionally, the Dubs hold the 10th-ranked net rating (+2.0) and run the 17th quickest pace (100.81).
The West’s eighth seed averages 114.9 points per game while their opponents average 113.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Golden State averages 27.9 (8th) and 43.9 (tied for 19th), respectively.
Team leaders* for key categories are Stephen Curry for scoring (28.4), Jonathan Kuminga for rebounding (6.2), Draymond Green for assists (5.0), De’Anthony Melton for steals (1.6), and Al Horford for blocks (0.9).
As for the perimeter, the Dubs continue to rely on it, but perhaps not as much as in the past. They shoot 36.0% from deep as a team, with six players shooting 38.2% or better.
*Minimum 10 games played
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Nets Stats
Brooklyn ranks 25th offensively (112.4), tied for 18th defensively (115.8), and 23rd in net rating (-3.4), running a pace of 97.95, which ranks 27th overall.
The East’s 13th-place Nets average 25.9 assists (17th) and 40.6 rebounds (28th). Brooklyn scores 109.8 points per game while their opponents average 113.7 points.
Team leaders* for key categories are Michael Porter Jr., for scoring (25.8) and blocks (1.3), Nic Claxton for rebounds (7.8) and assists (4.3), and Day’Ron Sharpe for steals (0.9).
As for the perimeter, the Nets shoot 34.4% from deep as a team, with three players shooting over 36.7%.
*Minimum 10 games played
Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets bottom line: Steve Kerr knows what the problem is — turnovers. The other thing the Warriors have a tendency to do is to lose focus and start spraying the ball everywhere.
That was precisely why the Dubs imploded on Sunday when they were leading by double digits with only eight minutes remaining.
To put in perspective how poorly the Warriors closed, they were outscored 28 to 7 in the closing minutes of regulation plus overtime.
Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets Basketball Betting Trends
- Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State’s last 7 games.
- Golden State is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games against Brooklyn.
- Also, Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Brooklyn’s last 16 games.
- Additionally, Brooklyn is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games played in December.
Warriors Nets Free Pick: Nets +3.5
Here is my Warriors Nets free pick. While Brooklyn isn’t sending shivers through the league as they sit with the tanking clubs, they’ve seemingly decided to take a shot at moving up the ladder with their play in December.
Brooklyn has the best defense in the month and is 7-3 in their last 10 matches.
With Cam Thomas returning from injury Brooklyn has a bonafide Sixth Man to keep the offense humming when the reserves enter the game.
This match truly is a toss-up as the Warriors are completing a back-to-back, which is tougher than usual given the age of the stars on Golden State, plus they also had to play overtime.
And while Brooklyn has played much better of late, something tells me Steph is going to come out and have a night. Still, I can’t ignore the Nets’ recent defense, so I’ll take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Brooklyn Nets have a league-best 105.7 DRTG over the last 10 games:
1) Neutralized opponent’s PnR actions by showing different coverages
2) Shrunk the court with their help defense and showing the ball more pressure
3) Length creating mismatches and deflections pic.twitter.com/nawwP99Fnt— Luca Greco (@LucaGrecoHoops) December 27, 2025
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