Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Rockets NBA Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Rockets on Sunday, March 23rd, 2025 at the Toyota Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Nuggets Rockets matchup.
2025 NBA Handicapping Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
(44-26) Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets (45-25)
Date: Sunday, March 23rd
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nuggets +155| Rockets -200 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Rockets -4.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 228.5
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Sunday, March 23rd finds the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets playing for the second time this season with Houston up 1-0 in the series.
Both teams last played on Friday with the Nuggets losing 109-128 to the Blazers while the Rockets defeated the Heat 102-98.
Season Series
Last year, the Houston took the season series three games to one and the Rockets also hold the all-time record between the squads with 107 victories in 205 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Saturday, March 22nd. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Sunday, March 23rd.
Denver Nuggets
If you caught recent Nuggets matches it’s overtly evident just how much better Denver is with Nikola Jokic on the court.
Ironically their defense has let them down the past two matches which isn’t the Joker’s forte but clearly the game rhythm is impacted on both ends.
Notably, Jamal Murray was also missing two of the last three matches and looked very rusty on Friday.
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Nuggets Stats
Denver ranks fourth offensively (118.8) and tied for 19th defensively (114.8) with a net differential of plus +3.8 which ranks tied for seventh overall.
Despite their overall placement, the Nuggets aren’t as solid against the spread with a 33-37-1 record through 71 contests.
Nuggets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Nikola Jokic, C (questionable — ankle)
- Julian Strawther, SF (OUT — knee sprain)
- DaRon Holmes II, C (OUT — Achilles)
- Vlatko Cancar, SF (OUT indefinitely— knee)
Houston Rockets
Don’t look now but the hottest team in the Association is the Rockets who are on a nine-game win streak. Amin Thompson returned to the court and didn’t look to have missed a beat.
Houston is playing how they did to start the season and has reclaimed the West’s second seed for their efforts.
Rockets Stats
The Rockets rank tied for 12th offensively (114.2) and are third defensively (109.5), with a net differential of plus +4.7 ranking fifth overall.
Houston performs above the middle ground against the spread with a 39-32 record through 71 games.
Rockets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Reed Sheppard, G (OUT— fractured thumb)
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Nuggets vs. Rockets NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games.
- Also, the Nuggets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
- By comparison, the Rockets are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Rockets are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games.
Free NBA Prediction:
Houston gets the oddsmaker’s nod which some will assume is tied to Jokic’s availability, however, the Rockets have earned the tap with how they’ve been playing lately.
The aggressive defense they began the season with is back, plus they are finally getting healthy after a rash of injuries rocked them. Additionally, the schedule makers also helped them as the winning streak didn’t feature any top squads.
Denver on the other hand continues to seek consistency and navigate getting their core healthy while keeping an eye on seeding. To that end, this match takes on added motivation as the Rockets hold a two-game edge over Denver with both clubs in the top 10 for most difficult strength of closing schedules.
4* Free Nuggets vs. Rockets NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets +4.5
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
Coach Malone pregame vs Lakers: “The last 10 years Nikola Jokić has played the 2nd most games in the NBA…so if Nikola is not playing, it’s not because he’s sitting, it’s not because he needs rest. It's because he’s hurt & he’s trying to play through things that most wouldn't.”
— Katy Winge (@katywinge) March 20, 2025
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