Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Mavericks on Friday, November 18th, 2022 at American Airlines Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Nuggets Mavericks matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(9-5) Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks (8-6)
Date: Friday, November 18th
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
NBA Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +200 | Mavericks -240 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Mavericks -6.5
NBA Betting Total: 218.5
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Friday, November 18th, finds the Denver Nuggets facing the Dallas Mavericks in the first game of a baseball set that will finish on Sunday also in Dallas. The teams will play four times this season with Denver hosting on December 6th and February 15th.
It’s the first baseball set for the Mavs and the second for the Nuggets who swept the Spurs.
Both teams last played Wednesday, with Denver having lost a 103-106 nail-biter to the Knicks while the Mavericks elected to rest Doncic and fell to the Rockets 92-101.
Last season, the squads played three times with the Mavericks winning two of the three contests. The Mavericks have won on 94 occasions in the 182 games played all-time.
Denver Nuggets
Although the Nuggets weren’t able to hang on Wednesday there were positive signs specifically from Jamal Murray who was trying to carry the team with both Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon sidelined.
Murray looked much more like his pre-injury self offering 21 points, nine rebounds, six assists, a steal, and a block. Bones Hyland also made a strong statement scoring 21 points with seven rebounds, two assists, and hit 50% of his long balls (5-10).
Offensively, the Nuggets slipped slightly in points per game scoring 116.1 points which rank eighth overall. They are the most proficient shooters though ranking first both from the field (50.0%) and perimeter (41.9%).
Defensively, the Nuggets allow opponents to score 114.1 points per game which ranks 19th. Denver opponents shoot 48.5% from the field (28th) and 34.7% from the perimeter (10th).
Ish Smith (calf), Aaron Gordon (illness), and Nikola Jokic (quarantine) are all questionable for Friday. Collin Gillespie (leg) is out indefinitely.
Dallas Mavericks
Luka Doncic is delivering at an MVP level averaging 34.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, 8.8 assists, and 2.1 steals per game. However, the team’s offense isn’t their calling card.
In fact, they rank in the bottom tier for the main offensive categories. To wit, the Mavericks score 108.6 points per game which ranks 27th overall. Dallas shoots 45.2% from the field ranking 24th, and 33.9% from the perimeter ranking 23rd.
It’s the opposite end of the spectrum for the Mavs’ defense as they boast the top ladder rung limiting opponents to 106.3 points per game. Their foes shoot 47.5% (22nd) from the field and 36.1% from the perimeter (tied with Raptors 17th).
JaVale McGee (neck), and Maxi Kleber (back) are questionable for Friday.
NBA Betting Trends:
- The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas’ last 6 games.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
Doncic is otherworldly and one of less than a handful of players who can win a game in a series on his own because of how he impacts all aspects of the game.
Jokic is another of those individuals but even he could tell Luka there needs to be a greater distribution to the secondary and tertiary option, which he’ll have with Murray back and even they’ll need ‘the others’ to star in their roles.
My concern about Luka is precisely what occurred this past week – when he’s tired the Mavs become beatable and when he sits they get beat by a tanking team with only two prior wins on the season.
As for this specific contest the edge favors the Mavs because of the Nuggets expected to be out but the spread feels too rich even without Joker and possibly Gordon.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets +6.5
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