Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Bucks NBA Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Bucks on Sunday, November 27th, 2022 at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Mavericks Bucks matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(9-9) Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks ()
Date: Sunday, November 27th
Time: 8:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Fiserv Forum Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
NBA Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +205 | Bucks -225 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Bucks -6
NBA Betting Total: 215
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Sunday, November 27th. the Dallas Mavericks play the Milwaukee Bucks for the first of two scheduled contests. Dallas will host on December 9th.
Dallas last played Saturday losing 100-105 to the shorthanded Raptors while the Bucks last played Friday pounding the Cavaliers 117-102.
Last season, the squads played twice with each team winning on the road. The Bucks hold the all-time record having bested the Mavericks in 43 of their 81 matches.
Dallas Mavericks
In my prior post, I cited the Mavericks’ road struggles and so far they are living up to that warning.
Two games into their mini three-game road trip they are already down two games getting routed by the Celtics and unable to beat a Raptors squad missing Pascal Siakam, Scottie Barnes, Otto Porter Jr. Precious Achiuwa (and others).
Emulating the Warriors, the Mavericks have just a single road win this season but it hasn’t stood out as much because they’ve played fewer road games (1-6).
In their second 20 games, they’ll split the road/home (10/10) contests but they better figure things out before the second half when they’ll be on the road for 13 matches with two separate five-game road trips.
The Mavericks score 109.2 points per game which rank 25th overall. Dallas shoots 46.5% from the field ranking 18th, and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 25th.
On defense, the Mavs rank second for opponent scoring allowing 106.5 points per game. Their proficiency numbers aren’t great with foes shooting 47.5% from the field and 36.8% from the perimeter ranking 23rd and 24th respectively.
That said, ranking atop the leaderboard for rebounding (49.1 per game) limits opponents from getting out in transition or getting second-chance points which helps them limit the scoring and is a key to their defense.
Milwaukee Bucks
Good news could be arriving soon in the form of Khris Middleton who practiced with the G-League team this past week. They sure could use their secondary scorer but he’ll also help them defensively.
Offensively, the Bucks score 111.8 points per game to rank 16th while shooting 45.2% from the field and 34.6% from the perimeter ranking 24th and 16th respectively.
Defensively, the Bucks hold opponents to the fourth-lowest point total of 107.2 per game. Milwaukee ranks third in opponent field goal percentage limiting foes to 44.5%. The Bucks rank 17th in perimeter defense holding opponents to 36.0% from deep.
Pat Connaughton (illness) is questionable while Serge Ibaka (illness) is out Sunday. Khris Middleton (wrist) and Joe Ingles (knee) are out indefinitely.
NBA Betting Trends:
- The Mavericks are 5-0-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- The Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Bucks’ last 5 home games.
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Prediction:
The loss to the decimated Raptors highlights there may be more concerns for the Mavericks. Luka is playing at an MVP level but the minute he subs out the offense grinds to a halt.
Even when Donic is on the court it’s clear everyone is just standing around waiting for him to make the play.
Nick Nurse had OG Anunoby as the primary defender on him and would occasionally throw double-teams at him which often resulted in a wide-open 3-pointer for a teammate but on the last offensive play of the game, the double resulted in a steal and sealed the win for Toronto.
You have to believe the better defensive clubs will follow suit electing to either let Doncic get his points and cut down all his passing lanes or double him aggressively.
I’m guessing Mike Budenholzer will put Jrue Holiday on Doncic and occasionally double – but with the Mavs on a back-to-back it bodes well for the Bucks to net the victory.
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