Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Nuggets on Tuesday, December 6th at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Mavericks-Nuggets matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(12-11) Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets (14-9)
Date: Tuesday, December 6th
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena Denver, Colorado
NBA Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +170 | Nuggets -185 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -4.5
NBA Betting Total: 223
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Tuesday, December 6th, finds the Dallas Mavericks playing the Denver Nuggets in the third of four scheduled matches. The teams played a baseball set on November 18th and 20th splitting the series.
Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic missed the set (both were in quarantine) which the Mavs took advantage of in the front game blowing out Denver 127-99 but the shorthanded Nuggets gutted out the 98-97 victory on the 20th. The final meeting is in Denver on February 15th.
The Nuggets arrive having last played Sunday losing 106-121 to the Pelicans while the Mavericks are completing a back-to-back set having won Monday versus the Suns 130-111.
Last season, the squads played three times with the Mavericks winning two of the three contests. The Mavericks have won on 94 occasions in the 183 games played all time.
I’m not sure if you’d call it an identity but there are certain trends and commonalities of this Mavericks roster. The obvious is Luka Doncic can win a game all on his own and if his team can finish in the upper echelon he’ll be right in the hunt with Jayson Tatum for MVP.
They are maddening to watch because they walk the ball up the floor every play, and give up layups to throw the ball to the perimeter for a 3-pointer (which they aren’t very consistent at hitting). And for Mavs fans, the MOST frustrating part of their game is NO LEAD is ever safe.
They get double-digit leads all the time but let teams back in games and are particularly bad in clutch time.
The Mavericks score 111.5 points per game ranking 17th overall and ranks 13th for field goal percentage (47.1%) and 14th for perimeter percentage (35.7%).
On defense, the Mavs rank fourth for opponent scoring allowing 108.4 points per game with foes shooting 47.4% from the field and 36.3% from the perimeter ranking 23rd and 21st respectively.
Just when I was ready for the Nuggets to go on a roll and overtake the Suns they lost two games that would’ve moved them atop the conference. Both felt winnable given Trae Young didn’t play in the Hawks match and the Pelicans were missing both Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum.
In the loss to the Pels, Denver was up by 14 points but New Orleans bench was the story of the game. Jose Alvarado was on a burner outscoring the Nuggets reserves all on his own with 38 points but the Pels’ 62 bench points versus the Nuggets’ 18 was the difference.
Denver ranks 12h in scoring averaging 114.7 points per game and first for proficiency from the field: 50.0%, second from the perimeter: 39.7%.
Defensively, they rank 16th for opponent scoring allowing 113.6 points per game, while foes shoot 48.9% from the field and 35.8% from the perimeter ranking 29th and 19th overall.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (wrist), Jeff Green (knee), and Peyton Watson (hamstring) are questionable. Michael Porter Jr. (heel) and Collin Gillespie (leg) are out.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Mavericks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games
- Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
I know my WCF pick has been sputtering of late but I have far more confidence in the Nuggets as a whole than I do the Mavericks. If I assume Jokic and Doncic both shine then the next two best players are both Nuggets (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon).
Therefore I’ll take the Nuggets to cover and win.
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