Free Pick: Celtics vs. Bucks Odds
Looking for Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Celtics taking on the Bucks on 12/11 at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Celtics Bucks free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks
(15-9) Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks (10-15)
Date: Dec 11, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
NBA Moneyline Odds: Celtics -333 | Bucks +280 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Celtics -8.5 | Bucks +8.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 225.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored Boston visitors as outlined in my Celtics Bucks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Celtics vs. Bucks Gameday
With the NBA Cup semi-finals set, the league is back in action with four matches on Thursday, including the Boston Celtics and home team Milwaukee Bucks.
The red-hot Celtics arrive in Milwaukee following their last game on Saturday, where they beat the Toronto Raptors 121-113. Five players scored in double-figures, led by Jaylen Brown with 30 points.
Milwaukee also last played on Saturday in a 112-124 loss to the Pistons. In the defeat five Bucks scored in double figures, with Kevin Porter Jr. leading the way with 32 points.
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Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds & Last 5
Last year, the Celtics dominated the season series, sweeping the three-game set versus the Bucks. This is the first of four meetings between the clubs this campaign.
Boston began the season cold, losing five of their initial eight matches, but then went 12-4 through the next 16 matches. The Celtics are on a current five-game winning streak and have climbed to the third seed in the East with a 15-9 record.
In contrast, Milwaukee began the season 8-5 but since then plummeted, going 2-10. That finds them in 10th in the East with a 10-15 record.
The Celtics are 8.5-point favorites with an over/under of 225.5 points.
Celtics Stats
Boston ranks second offensively (122.0), 17th defensively (114.8), and fifth in net rating (+7.2) while running a pace of 96.21, which ranks 30th in the association.
The East’s third-place Celtics average 24.7 assists (13th) and 43.8 rebounds (26th). Boston scores 117.3 points per game while its opponents average 110.6 points.
Team leaders* in the key categories are Jaylen Brown for scoring (29.1 points), Neemias Queta for rebounds (8.2) and blocks (1.4), while Derrick White is tops in assists (5.3) and steals (1.5).
Seven Celtics shoot between 36.4% and 48.6% from the perimeter while the team averages 36.9% from deep.
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Bucks Stats
Milwaukee holds the 15th-ranked offense (114.3) and 22nd-ranked defense (117.0) as well as the 22nd-best net rating (-2.7) and ranks 24th in pace (99.89).
The East’s 10th seed averages 115.1 points per game while their opponents average 118.0 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Milwaukee averages 27.0 (17th) and 39.4 (30th), respectively.
Milwaukee’s team leaders* in key categories are Giannis Antetokounmpo in scoring (28.9), rebounding (10.1), and assists (6.1), Myles Turner for blocks (1.6), and Kevin Porter Jr. for steals (2.2).
Seven Bucks shoot over 36.5% from the perimeter (four others shoot over 40% but haven’t played in 10 games yet). As a team, the Bucks shoot 40.9% from deep, ranking first in the association.
*minimum 10 games played
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks bottom line: This iteration of the Bucks was built around Giannis, so his injury is the easy explanation for why the team is struggling so much without him.
As for Boston, they too are missing a franchise player (Jayson Tatum), but Jaylen Brown is a great substitute, and the team is simply deeper than the Bucks.
Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Basketball Betting Trends
- Boston is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games.
- Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- Also, Milwaukee is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 8 games.
- Additionally, Milwaukee is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games.
Celtics Bucks Free Pick: Celtics -8.5
Other than the Thunder, the Celtics may well be the hottest team in the association, having vaulted all the way up to the second-best offense. That said, there are still strides to be made defensively.
Rebounding specifically is an issue and one that isn’t an easy fix, given the size constraints of the Celts.
Perimeter shooting remains the calling card for the Celtics who jack up 43.3 deep balls per game at an efficiency of 36.9% and make 16.0 per game. In contrast, the Bucks rank 14th in defense of the long ball holding opponents to 36.1%.
As for injuries, Giannis (calf) remains out until the end of the month, along with Taurean Prince (neck), while AJ Green (shoulder) will be a game-time decision.
Boston is healthy aside from Tatum (Achilles), who remains out rehabbing, hoping to return at some point in this campaign.
The Celtics have slowly but surely been climbing up the standings, and it seems this club is far more likely to be in the mix for a home-court seed than not.
Based on how they’ve been playing lately, coupled with no Giannis, I’ll take Boston to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Will Jayson Tatum return to the Celtics’ lineup sooner than anticipated? 👀
Joe Mazzulla is leaving it up to his superstar: pic.twitter.com/IMT8bEVpdW
— Celtics on NBC Sports Boston (@NBCSCeltics) December 10, 2025
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