Free NBA Pick: Hawks vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Hawks taking on the Nuggets on Sunday March 28th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Hawks Nuggets matchup.
2021 NBA Handicapping
(23-22) Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets (27-18)
Date: Sunday, March 28th
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
NBA Moneyline Odds: Hawks +165| Nuggets -190
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -4.5
NBA Betting Total: 224
We should see the debut of Aaron Gordon as a member of the Nuggets on Sunday night. Not that Denver needed a ton of reinforcements as the current 5 seed in the West, but this move does make them even better.
Atlanta is up for the challenge, themselves currently sitting in the 6 spot in the East and on an 8-2 run over their last 10 games. The Hawks are 12-13 on the road while Denver is 12-9 at Ball Arena.
There’s perhaps no better time that Atlanta could be facing Denver than in Gordon’s debut with the Nuggets. He won’t be very familiar with the plays or players, so the Nuggets will be playing a real dumbed down version of their offense.
It doesn’t hurt that the Hawks are on a hot streak either. Atlanta is coming off a 124-108 thumping of the very banged up Warriors, covering the -7 spread easily. That win was a big one as the Hawks had been 1-2 on their current West Coast road swing.
The game that got away over the last week was the 108-110 loss at Sacramento as the Hawks were -3 point favorites. Then again the Kings are playing decent right now on a current 3-game win streak.
Denver is flip-flopping wins and losses the last four games as well, including a 111-135 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. That contest was on the back to back for the Nuggets, but that was also the only win for the Raptors in their last 10 games.
Denver was good without Gordon, but adding a 6’8″ forward that can also shoot from the perimeter never hurts. Gordon was averaging 14/6/4 for Orlando, but he was also the top priority for opposing defenses to stop (along with Nikola Vucevic).
Gordon coming in as a 3rd or maybe even 4th option is downright terrifying to opposing defenses. Gordon at the PF and Michael Porter, Jr. at the 3 stretches defenses, making Nikola Jokic even more difficult to stop on the post.
Jokic is the MVP front runner averaging 27/11/8 on the season. He is an assist away from four straight triple-doubles over the last 12 games, and had 37 points in the win over the Pelicans on Friday.
Atlanta is decent vs. the C position, sending Clint Capela and John Collins on the interior to rank 11th defensively vs. that spot. This game may be decided in the Trae Young vs. Jamal Murray matchup.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Hawks are 6-2 ATS last 8 overall
- Hawks are 5-1 ATS last 6 following a SU win
- Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 as an underdog
- Over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 road games
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS last 7 home games
- Nuggets are 9-3 ATS last 12 home games
- Over is 27-13-2 in Nuggets last 42 home games
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 head to head meetings
Free Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
Atlanta would be justified in coming out flat here. They are in game 5 of an 8 game road swing and play a Nuggets team that is back home for the first time in a week. They lost that game 108-113 to the Pelicans though…
…and that’s the reason you can’t trust Denver giving points even at home. The loss to the Pelicans and getting absolutely dominated by Toronto means this Nuggets team is just too inconsistent right now. Having to integrate a new player doesn’t help either.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Hawks +4.5
As long as Atlanta isn’t wearing down from the West Coast road trip this is a great spot for them.
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