Free NCAAF Pick: Green Wave vs. Rebels Odds
Looking for Tulane Green Wave vs. Ole Miss Rebels Free NCAA College Football Playoff First Round Game picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Green Wave taking on the Rebels on 12/20 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, in Oxford, MS. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Green Wave Rebels free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Tulane Green Wave vs Ole Miss Rebels
(0-0) Tulane Green Wave vs. Ole Miss Rebels (0-0)
Date: Dec 20, 2025
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Green Wave +594 | Rebels -935 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Green Wave +17.5 | Rebels -17.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 56.5
Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Green Wave Rebels free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Green Wave vs. Rebels Gameday for College Football Playoff First Round Game
The college football postseason gets rolling with a first-round playoff matchup between the Tulane Green Wave and the Ole Miss Rebels. This one heads to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS, where Ole Miss gets the home-field edge and all the noise that comes with it.
Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM ET on December 20, 2025, with TNT carrying the broadcast.
Tulane enters ranked 17th in the AP Poll and sitting at a very respectable 11-2. The Green Wave have handled business down the stretch, stacking wins over North Texas and Charlotte, and they’ve done it with balance.
They’re not flashy, but they’re disciplined, physical, and more than happy to grind out drives while shortening the game.
Ole Miss, though, is the heavyweight here. Ranked 6th in both the AP and Coaches Poll, the Rebels come in at 11-1 and have been dominant in Oxford all season. Their most recent postseason appearance ended with a Gator Bowl win over Duke, and this roster looks even deeper now. Playing at home only adds fuel to an already confident group.
These teams met earlier this season, and it wasn’t particularly competitive. Ole Miss rolled to a 45-10 win and has taken the last three meetings overall.
Tulane will try to sell the “new game, new stakes” angle, but history — and the betting market — says this is still the Rebels’ game to lose.
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It’s the College Football Playoff First Round Game, Tulane Green Wave vs. Ole Miss Rebels, and if chaos is coming, it’ll need to arrive early.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Ole Miss Rebels Odds & Last 5
From a betting perspective, the books are firmly in Ole Miss’ corner. The Rebels open with a -927 moneyline, essentially daring anyone to click Tulane at +605. That number screams confidence — or liability avoidance — depending on how you look at it.
Tulane has been doing its part lately, riding a winning streak with solid victories over North Texas and Charlotte. They’ve been efficient offensively and opportunistic defensively, which is usually how underdogs stay alive longer than expected.
Ole Miss closed the regular season strong, capped by a win over Mississippi State, and they already handled Tulane convincingly earlier this year.
The Rebels know exactly what’s in front of them, and anything short of a clean win would feel like a disappointment in Oxford.
Rebels Stats
Ole Miss has been an offensive machine this season. They rank 13th nationally with 447 points and sit 4th in passing yards at 3,715. The rushing attack isn’t just window dressing either, piling up 2,296 yards to rank 34th.
Defensively, the Rebels are solid but not elite. They rank 8th in interceptions and 17th in sacks, showing an ability to create pressure and turnovers. The flip side is they’ve allowed 241 points, which lands them outside the top tier and leaves the door slightly open.
The Rebels are rolling right now, winners of five straight, including a 38-19 win over Mississippi State and a 49-0 demolition of The Citadel.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss leads the way with 3,016 passing yards, while Kewan Lacy has been a workhorse on the ground with 1,279 rushing yards.
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Green Wave Stats
Tulane’s offense has quietly been very productive. They’ve scored 378 points, ranking 35th nationally, with balance on both sides of the ball. Their passing game sits 38th with 3,126 yards, while the run game adds another 2,226 yards at 42nd.
Defense is where things get dicey. Tulane has allowed 294 points, ranking 103rd, which isn’t ideal when facing an Ole Miss offense that scores in bunches. The saving grace has been turnovers, as the Green Wave rank 16th in interceptions and 6th in fumbles recovered.
Tulane enters on a five-game winning streak, most recently beating North Texas 34-21 while forcing three interceptions. Quarterback Jake Retzlaff has thrown for 2,862 yards and 14 touchdowns, while Javin Gordon adds balance with 505 rushing yards and five scores.
Momentum is real — but so is the step up in class.
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Green Wave vs. Rebels QB Matchup
Trinidad Chambliss has been steady all season for Ole Miss, throwing for 3,016 yards with 18 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He doesn’t force much, and that’s usually a bad sign for underdogs hoping for mistakes.
Austin Simmons has seen limited action, logging 680 yards and four touchdowns across six games, though his five interceptions show some volatility if he’s pressed into action.
For Tulane, Jake Retzlaff has been productive with 2,862 yards and 14 touchdowns against six picks. Brendan Sullivan has appeared in a backup role, totaling 222 yards and two touchdowns. If Tulane is going to hang around, it likely starts with Retzlaff playing clean and mistake-free.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Ole Miss Rebels bottom line: Tulane has momentum and toughness, but Ole Miss has the depth, the home field, and the ceiling — and unless turnovers flip the script, the Rebels control this one.
Tulane Green Wave vs. Ole Miss Rebels Football Betting Trends
- The Green Wave is 8-4 against the spread as an underdog in their last 12 games.
- Tulane has a 12-10 record against the spread after a win in their last 22 games.
- Also, the Rebels have won 21 of their last 22 home games straight up.
- Ole Miss is 27-3 straight up as a favorite in their last 30 games.
- Additionally, the Rebels are 17-13 against the spread after a win in their last 30 games.
- Ole Miss has a 14-10 record against the spread in all games over the past two seasons.
Green Wave Rebels Free Pick: UNDER 56.5
Here is my Green Wave Rebels free pick: the total is sitting at 56.5, and that number feels a bit inflated for how this matchup sets up. Ole Miss can score, no doubt, but this isn’t a spot where they need to empty the playbook.
The Rebels had a strong offensive season and finished near the top nationally in points scored. That said, they’ve shown a tendency to ease off once control is established, especially against overmatched opponents.
Tulane’s defense looks rough on paper, but they’ve been more about limiting damage than trading shots. They’re content to slow pace, shorten games, and avoid total chaos.
In their most recent meeting, Ole Miss won comfortably while the total still stayed under a much higher number. That game never felt fast, and the scoreboard reflected it.
Because Ole Miss doesn’t need style points here, clock control becomes a factor.
Big favorites often bleed clock instead of chasing points.
The Rebels can score efficiently without pushing tempo deep into the fourth quarter.
Overall, this sets up as a game where the margin is clear but the pace isn’t. Under 56.5 fits the script. Sometimes the quiet wins are the best ones. This looks like one of those.
Today’s College Football Playoff First Round Game NCAAF Free Pick
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