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NBA News NBA Previews NBA Sportsbooks Posted on 12/13/2007 4:15 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
NBA Betting Trends – Washington (11-10) at Miami (6-15)
Our Sportsbooks: The Miami Heat, (12-9 ATS, 11-9-1 O/U) appear to be getting back on track after suffering through a dismal start to the regular without their best player, Dywane Wade and a rapidly aging Shaquille O’Neal.
The Heat have won two consecutive games for the first time this season, including Monday’s 117-113 road win over the Phoenix Suns. Wade also scored 10 of his 31 points in the final four minutes Monday and leads the Heat in scoring and assists (22.7 points 6.4 assists per game).
The Washington Wizards, (13-8 ATS, 12-9 O/U) have also won two consecutive games coming into this matchup, including a solid 102-88 win over the young Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday.
Washington has also won four of its last five and had six players reach double-digits in scoring against Minnesota.
All-star forwards, Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison have kept the Wizards afloat despite the loss of the team’s leading scorer, Gilbert Arenas. The athletic forwards are averaging with 22.8 and 21.4 points, respectively.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my analysis and NBA Betting Free Picks:
Key Wizards Trends
The Wizards are 9-0 ATS in their last nine vs. Eastern Conference.
The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
The Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Key Heat Trends
The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
The Heat are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-1 in Wizards last seven when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Over is 6-1 in Wizards last seven games following a SU win of more than ten points.
The Over is 4-0 in Heat last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Heat last five overall.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Wizards are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in Miami.
The Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Miami.
The Wizards are 5-13-2 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
Analysis: If nothing else, the Wizards know how to put the ball in the hole, which is the reason I’m taking them to covert the six-point spread against the Heat tonight. I know Washington plays absolutely no defense whatsoever, but Washington’s offense is much better than Miami’s and should be able to help them cover the spread.
NBA Free Picks: Washington+6 Points/Over 204 Total Points
08:05 PM EST NBA Odds
Washington Wizards +6 -110
Miami Heat -6 -110
Over 204 -110
Under 204 -110
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