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Sportsbook Reviews Posted on 11/02/2007 12:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
Bet on NFL – Broncos Enter the Lions Den
At the start of the season, if you had told someone that the NFL betting line at the halfway point of the year would have the Lions favored over the Broncos, they’d have laughed you away like you were a loon. Everyone, that is, except Jon Kitna, who’s closeness with some football god told him this team could win 10 games this season. For perspective on Jon’s seeming madness, since Matt Millen took over this team after the 2000 season, they have won, on average, just four games per year and not once have they won more than six in a single season.
Denver Broncos +3 at Detroit Lions –3
Kitna, however, is now looking prophetic and Detroit is 5-2 and on a two-game win streak, having just beaten the Buccaneers on the road, followed by their second straight victory over the Chicago Bears, winners of the NFC North the past two years. His talented group of wide-outs has helped the Lions to become the seventh-ranked passing unit in the NFL.
On the flip side, the Lions passing defense is ranked 30th, behind only Cleveland and Minnesota, respectively. NFL rankings, however, can sometimes be misleading, as they are based solely on yards. While the Lions are giving up lots of yards through the air, what this stat does not tell you is that Detroit leads the league in two very important passing defense stats: they lead the NFL with 13 interceptions through seven games, and are second in forced fumbles with 13 as well.
This game is going to be decided through the air, as the Lions rushing defense matches up very well against the Broncos. Forcing Jay Cutler to throw the ball more than the coaches would like to see, against a ball-hungry secondary could turn this road trip into an exercise in anger management for the young, rising star. Many people are comparing Cutler to a young Brett Favre. What they forget to mention is that Favre was known early on especially for his mistakes.
Free Pick:
It is only going to take a few mistakes for Detroit to make Denver pay. Favored by just three, many football betting old-timers will tell you that the safe bet is the veteran quarterback at home.
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