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NFL Football Previews NFL Trends Sportsbook Reviews Posted on 11/12/2007 1:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Football Betting – Monday Night Football
On Monday night (8:30 PM ET), the nation will be watching Seattle’s Qwest Field (FieldTurf) as the Seahawks (4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) try to climb above the .500 mark as they play host to the San Francisco 49ers (2-6 SU, 2-5-1 ATS). In the Top Sportsbooks NFL football betting odds, the Seahawks are listed at -10, with the over/under posted at 39.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* SAN FRAN has won five of its last 21 road games SU
* SAN FRAN has covered just one of its last six games
* SEATTLE is 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games
* SEATTLE has won 19 of its last 23 home games SU
* The last three meetings have gone UNDER the total
I have to believe the Seattle Seahawks are going to be a little bit riled up after blowing a 21-3 lead against Cleveland last week. Of course, if they get that kind of lead again they’re going against perhaps the one offense that doesn’t have the capability to catch up. It is very tough in the National Football League to win when you are gaining 224 yards a game, with a 13-point scoring average.
San Francisco’s offense has put a lot of pressure on its defense by failing to stay on the field for very long. The Niners have just over 13 first downs per game, and have converted on less than 30% of third down opportunities. Alex Smith has just two TD passes and is just shy of 50% completions and five yards an attempt. Forty-Niner quarterbacks have been sacked 28 times. Smith was sacked six times in Seattle’s 23-3 win on September 30. Frank Gore has been bottled up for most of the year, and Seattle, burned by Gore in being swept last season, held him to 79 yards in the first meeting. But that is the theme when playing the Niners, who are on a six-game losing streak.
At least Seattle’s Matt Hasselbeck (62%, 13 TD’s) has gotten an offense going on occasion. And though Shaun Alexander (3.3 ypc) is battling some ankle and knee problems, and Deion Branch may be out with a foot injury, there are capable replacements. For example, Bobby Engram, who’d start for Branch, had 14 catches last week. And hard-running Maurice Morris (4.6 ypc) would sub for Alexander.
The Seahawks are perfectly capable of scoring some points. The Niners are perfectly capable of putting up a three-spot and leaving it at that. So we’re going to lay the double digits with Seattle, a 10-point favorite in the Top Sportsbooks NFL football betting odds.
NFL betting odds: Seattle -10 (Total 39.5)
NOTABLE STAT: San Francisco has gained only 224 yards per game
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: San Francisco 1-5 ATS in last six games
NFL BETTING FREE PICK: JAY’S PLAY: SEATTLE *** (Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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