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NCAAB News NCAAB Previews NCAAB Sportsbooks Posted on 01/10/2007 5:30 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff
Bet on NCAA Basketball – Washington State at USC
Our Sportsbooks: The Washington State Cougars, (13-0 SU, 8-4 ATS, 5-7 O/U) enter tonight’s Pac-10 showdown against the Southern California Trojans, (9-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, 3-9 O/U) as one of just five remaining unbeaten teams in the nation while Southern Cal is riding a two-game losing streak despite having one of the best freshmen players in the country in shooting guard O.J. Mayo.
The Cougars beat instate rival Washington 56-52 in its Pac-10 opener on Saturday, while USC dropped their last contest to Stanford, putting up just 46 points while losing 52-46.
Washington State’s defense has been absolutely phenomenal all season, leading the nation by allowing a miniscule 49.8 points per game. The Cougars are also a fine shooting team, averaging 68.5 points per contest on a spectacular 50.0 percent from the field.
USC is averaging 68.9 points per game on 46.8 percent shooting while allowing 60.9 points per game defensively on 38.0 percent shooting from the field.
Senior guard Derrick Low leads the Cougars in scoring, (12.9 ppg) while Mayo is second in the Pac-10 in scoring (20.1 ppg).
Washington State swept the season series over USC last season before falling to the Trojans 70-61 in the conference tournament, so payback will most definitely be on the minds of the Cougars.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NCAA Basketball Gambling Free Pick.
Key Cougars Trends
The Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Cougars are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
Key Trojans Trends
The Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Trojans are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Trojans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Cougars last six Thursday games.
The Under is 8-3 in Cougars last eleven vs. Pacific-10.
The Under is 6-1 in Trojans last seven games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Under is 6-1 in Trojans last seven home games.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Favorite is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
The Cougars are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Analysis: Don’t ask me why this line is so low, even with USC playing at home. Washington State is clearly the better – and more experienced – team in this matchup. Take the Cougars in this absolute “lock” and don’t look back bettors.
NCAAB Free Picks: Washington State -1.5 Points
11:00 PM EST College Basketball Point Spreads
Washington St +1½ -110
USC -1½ -110
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