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Posted on 11/22/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Trends – Titans (6-4) at Bengals (3-7)
The Tennessee Titans, (5-5 ATS, 3-7 O/U) have lost two consecutive games – and five of their last seven – heading into today’s showdown against the Cincinnati Bengals, (4-6 ATS, 6-4 O/U) who have been absolutely abysmal since opening day.
Tennessee’s normally stout defense has allowed 166 yards to their opponents in each if the last two losses and now sit two games behind AFC South leaders, Indianapolis and in danger of falling out of playoff contention in the tough AFC.
The Titans have given up an average of 31 points per game in their last two contests after limiting opponents to 15.5 points per game in the first half of the season.
Despite their defensive problems, quarterback Vince Young turned in one of his best performances as a pro against the Denver Broncos last week, throwing for 305 yards and adding another 74 on the ground.
The Cincinnati Bengals have been plagued by all sorts of problems on both sides of the ball this season, with their normally high-powered offense not being able to overcome the defenses many lapses this season. Last week against the Arizona Cardinals, quarterback Carson Palmer threw a career-high four interceptions, including two that were returned for touchdowns.
Cincinnati’s defense is ranked an atrocious 30th, allowing 369.6 yards and 28.6 points per game to their opponents.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trend, followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Titans Trends
The Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Key Bengals Trends
The Bengals are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.
The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Bengals are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games in November.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0 in Titans last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games in Week 12.
The Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games as an underdog.
The Over is 7-1-1 in Bengals last 9 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Analysis: I think this pick is as easy as pie NFL bettors. The Tennessee Titans, despite their recent ailments, are clearly the better team here and veteran head coach Jeff Fisher will make sure his players understand the importance of getting this win. Take the Titans to win this game by at least a field goal and continue the Bengals’ spiral into mediocrity.
NFL Free Picks: Titans -1.5 Points/Under 46.5 Totals Points
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Tennessee Titans -1½ -110
Cincinnati Bengals +1½ -110
Over 46½ -110
Under 46½ -110
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