Texans vs. Falcons NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 9/29/2007 5:48:04 AM
Football Betting – Houston Texans (-4) at Atlanta Falcons (+4)
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Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The Houston Texans (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS, 2-1 O/U) lost their first game of the season last week, falling to the Indianapolis Colts 24-22 in a game in which the Texans showed their newfound resolve by outscoring the Colts 14-3 in a furious fourth quarter rally. Houston is ranked 23rd overall on offense and a surprising 10th in overall defense.
The Atlanta Falcons (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) are a total mess at the moment and enter this matchup coming off a 27-20 loss to the Carolina Panthers. Atlanta is ranked 20th in overall offense and 17th in overall defense, but has gotten sporadic play from Harrington at the most inopportune times.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Wagering Free Picks:
Key Texans Trends
The Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week four.
The Texans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
The Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a S.U. loss.
Key Falcons Trends
The Falcons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
The Falcons are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games on Field Turf.
The Falcons are 17-39-2 ATS in their last 58 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Texans last five games on Field Turf.
The Under is 4-1 in Texans last five games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Over is 4-0 in Falcons last four games as a home underdog.
The Under is 7-0 in Falcons last seven games following a ATS loss.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
None Available
Analysis: While this is a game that newly signed quarterback Byron Leftwich may start in place of the ineffective Joey Harrington, it is clear that the Texans have a new attitude and new direction under second-year head coach Gary Kubiak. I say the Texans pull off a rare road win and beat the stuffing out of the wounded Falcons. Even better, take the ‘Over’ in this game.
NFL Free Picks: Texans 28 Falcons 14
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Houston Texans -2½ -110
Atlanta Falcons +2½ -110
Over 39 -110
Under 39 -110
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