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Bet on NFL – Steelers Have the Stuff to Take Down Patriots
The New England Patriots have managed to escape losses in each of the last two weeks for varying reasons, first the Philadelphia Eagles’ own mistakes doomed them two weeks ago before the league and officials prevented the Patriots from losing to the Baltimore Ravens with several strange calls at the end of last week’s contest.
This week, the Patriots will face a team in the Pittsburgh Steelers that can certainly beat them even if no one is really talking about it.
As Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin succinctly put it, “The New England Patriots are a very good football team, to say the least, but this isn’t Appalachian State against Michigan.”
All posturing aside, the Patriots have shown some chinks in their armor, particularly on defense the last two weeks, after allowing an average of 383.5 yards against Philadelphia and Baltimore.
The Patriots may not be so lucky against the Steelers’ top-ranked defense which has allowed the fewest points, total yards and passing yards in the NFL this season.
The Steelers are looking for their third win in a row against the Patriots and their No. 1 ranked offense, led by quarterback Tom Brady.
The Steelers also have a fine quarterback in Ben Roethlisberger who has 25 touchdown passes this season and an outstanding 102.9 quarterback rating, good for third in the league.
The Steelers also have the AFC’s leading rusher in Willie Parker who has gained 1,093 yards coming into this matchup. The good news for the Patriots is that Parker has been held under 100 yards the past three weeks, averaging just 3.0 yards per carry during the span.
The Pittsburgh Steelers, are ranked 14th in overall offense, averaging 332.0 yards and 24.7 points per game while the Patriots are ranked third in overall defense, allowing 289.2 yards and 17.4 points per game. The Steelers beat the Cincinnati Bengals, 24-10 last week.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my free Football Betting Picks:
Key Steelers Trends
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week 14.
The Steelers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games in December.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Key Patriots Trends
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on field turf.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 7-1 in Steelers last eight games as a road underdog.
The Under is 7-1 in Steelers last eight games as an underdog.
The Over is 8-0 in Patriots last eight games on field turf.
The Over is 8-0 in Patriots last eight home games.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
The Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
The Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings.
Analysis: Maybe it’s me, but I am amazed that the Steelers are such heavy underdogs, particularly after seeing how the Patriots have played the last two weeks despite escaping with victories. I think this game is an absolute ‘no-brainer’ NFL bettors. Not only are the Steelers going to cover the 10.5-point spread, but they are also gong to hand the Patriots their first loss of the regular season.
NFL Free Picks: Steelers +10.5 Points/Under 48.5 Totals Points
04:15 PM EST NFL Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers +10½ -110
New England Patriots -10½ -110
Over 48½ -110
Under 48½ -110
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