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NBA News NBA Previews NBA Sportsbooks Posted on 11/27/2007 1:35 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
Bet on NBA: Supersonics (+11) vs. Lakers (-11)
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Our Sportsbooks: The young Sonics, led by 19 year old Kevin Durant, take their game to the Staples Center tonight to face a Lakers team that, by almost everyone’s expectations, has done okay by getting one game above .500.
That isn’t to say that the Lakers will have trouble with the Sonics. By simply having a starting line-up that consists of Kobe Bryant and LaMar Odom, the Lakers are all ready a better team than the Sonics.
The Sonics might be the worst team in the NBA but there’s hope for this team as Kevin Durant, then super-stud rookie players, is averaging a very good 18 points a game in his first year in Seattle. He will only get better. So, Sonics’ fans don’t worry if you don’t read anything else in this article that will make you smile.
Clearly, the trends favor the Lakers who are coming off of 3 straight losses versus 3 Eastern Conference teams. Two of those teams, the Milwaukee Bucks and New Jersey Nets, aren’t that good.
But, trends are trends. So, here they are:
The Los Angeles Lakers are 5 and 2 against the spread in their 7 home games so far this season.
The Seattle Sonics are 2 and 6 against the spread in their 8 road games so far this season.
Another stat that is of interest to NBA bettors is the overall strength of each offense. The Lakers average over 105 points per game while the Sonics average over 99. Not surprisingly, the woeful Sonics give up an average of over 108 points per game. The Lakers give up an average of 100 points per game.
So, the stats regarding points averaged falls, again, in favor of the Lakers. Out of the 5 games in which the Lakers covered or beat the spread this year, 4 were UNDER. What this shows is that the Lakers tend to cover or beat spreads when they face a team that has trouble scoring.
Averaging less than 100 points a game in the NBA, and allowing an average of 108, shows that you have trouble scoring. This is also evidenced by the fact that the Sonics best player, Kevin Durant, is only averaging 18 points. No knock against Durant, but if he were averaging around 24 points with the second best player on the Sonics averaging close to 12 to 18, then we’d be looking at a very good offensive NBA team.
Not so, which means that the Lakers have an excellent chance of covering in this game.
The basketball betting line is Los Angeles Lakers – 11 against the spread at home versus the Seattle Sonics.
NBA Free Pick:
I like the Lakers to pull away from the Sonics in the middle of the third or beginning of the fourth quarters. Kobe and Co. should cover this spread.
More Key NBA Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle’s last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games
Seattle is 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing Seattle
LA Lakers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
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