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NBA News NBA Previews NBA Sportsbooks Posted on 01/16/2008 3:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
Bet on NBA – Seattle Supersonics (+ 10.5) vs. New Orleans Hornets (- 10.5)
Our Sportsbooks: WHO: Seattle SuperSonics (9-28 SU, 17-20 ATS) at New Orleans Hornets (25-12 SU, 22-14-1 ATS)
WHERE: New Orleans Arena
WHEN: Wednesday, January 16 at 8 PM ET
BetUS NBA basketball betting odds: NEW ORLEANS -10.5, Total: 198
In the HEAD-to-HEAD NBA betting trends:
* SEA has covered four of the last six meetings
* NO has won four of the last five meetings SU
* Five of the last seven meetings have gone UNDER the total
* NO has won the last five meetings SU as the home team
* Seven of the last eight meetings in Hornets’ home (N.O. or OK City) have gone UNDER the total
Seattle has given up 104.2 points a game; only four teams allow more. The Sonics pull down more rebounds than any team in the NBA (45.5 per contest). But turnovers present difficulty, as the Sonics cough it up an average of 15.7 times a game. Also:
* SEA has lost its last seven games SU
* SEA has covered one of its last five games
* SEA has covered one of its last six road games
* SEA has played seven of its last eight games UNDER the total
New Orleans has been a strong free throw shooting team this season (78.8%). And they are one of the NBA’s most careful teams with the ball, turning it over just 12 times a game. Undoubtedly the credit for that goes in large part to Chris Paul, the point guard who averages 10.3 assists per game against only 2.6 TO’s. Also:
* NO has won and covered five of its last six games
* NO has covered four of its last six games at home
* NO has won six of its last eight games SU at home
* NO has played five of its last seven home games UNDER the total
Seattle brought the Lakers – admittedly minus Andrew Bynum – into overtime last time out, as Kobe Bryant went wild. Kevin Durant went wild too, but in the other direction. He shot 6-for-26 from the field and illustrates something that has been an ongoing problem for Seattle, which is shot selection.
New Orleans would seem to be fundamentally sound where Seattle isn’t, namely in taking care of the basketball. And there are some very underrated heroes, like David West (19.3 ppg) and Tyson Chandler (12.1 ppg, 12 rpg) to look to. But like Orlando, the Hornets have been an outstanding road team (15-5 SU, 14-5-1 ATS) which has struggled a bit at home (just 10-7 SU, 8-9 ATS).
Seattle is at least getting healthier. Luke Ridnour helps in terms of distribution, which in turn helps shot selection. And Chris Wilcox, the team’s second-leading scorer (13.3 ppg) has returned, and he will maybe take some pressure off Durant. These things could make a lot of difference for Seattle, which despite its awful straight-up record is just three games under .500 against the number.
Maybe this is a good spot for the visitor. We’ll grab considerable points with Seattle, the 10.5-point dog in the Top Sportsbooks NBA betting odds.
NBA Free Pick: JAY’S PLAY: SEATTLE
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