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Posted on 11/22/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Wagering – New Orleans Saints (-3) at Carolina Panthers (+3)
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Though New Orleans Saints, (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 O/U) and Carolina Panthers, (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 3-7 O/U) have been two of the league’s biggest disappointments this season – and currently sport similar 4-6 losing records, the fact remains that anything is possible in the weak NFC these days and both of these teams are still holding on to their respective postseason hopes.
If either team wants to fulfill their playoff wishes however, they had better start winning consistently, something neither franchise has done at all this season.
Despite that fact, this week’s matchup could be the place to start for both clubs.
The Saints are ranked seventh in overall offense, averaging 350.8 yards and 21.2 points per game.
The Panthers have been much more offensively challenged this season, coming into this game ranked 25th in overall and averaging 300.5 yards and just 16.7 points per game
Defensively, the Saints are ranked 27th overall, allowing a whopping 355.9 yards and 24.6 points per game. Carolina, which has fielded perennial defensive juggernauts under head coach John Fox, is ranked 14th in overall defense, allowing 321.2 yards and 21.2 points per game.
The Saints lost to the Houston Texans 23-10 last week while the Panthers come into this contest off their own 31-17 loss to the Green Bay Packers last week.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Saints Trends
The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games as a road favorite.
Key Panthers Trends
The Panthers are 16-5-3 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. NFC South.
The Panthers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Saints last four games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Over is 6-0 in Saints last six games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Under is 6-1 in Panthers last seven games as an underdog.
The Over is 6-1 in Panthers last seven games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings in Carolina.
The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Carolina.
The Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
Analysis: Although I am a bit angry at the Saints for not covering last week, I’m going to give this inconsistent team another chance to increase the annual football bankroll. While the Panthers have a good defense it’s hard to win when your team can’t score. Take the Saints to cover in a thriller.
NFL Free Picks: Saints 24 Panthers 20
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
New Orleans Saints -3 -115
Carolina Panthers +3 -105
Over 41 -110
Under 41 -110
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