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Posted on 10/27/2007 9:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Week 8 Odds – Saints (-3) at 49ers (+3)
The New Orleans Saints, (2-4 SU, 1-5 ATS, 2-4 O/U), are ranked 21st in overall offense, averaging 317.7 yards and 21.0 points per game. New Orleans is ranked 22nd in overall defense, allowing 344.7 yards and 23.3 points per game. The Saints won their second consecutive game of the season last week, beating the Atlanta Falcons 22-16.
The San Francisco 49ers, (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U) are ranked 32nd in overall offense, averaging 213.8 yards and 13.0 points per game. San Francisco is ranked 17th in overall defense allowing 328.0 yards and 22.5 points per game. The 49ers enter this contest coming off a 33-15 shellacking at the hands of the New York Giants last week.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Saints Trends
The Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Saints are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Key 49ers Trends
The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in October.
The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games as a road favorite.
The Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games as a home underdog.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
The Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Analysis: After winning two consecutive games, the New Orleans Saints are an excellent wager to win this week against a young, injury-riddled 49ers team that has struggled after an impressive start the first four weeks of the season. Take the Saints to win this matchup outright.
NFL Free Picks: Saints 24 49ers 17
04:15 PM EST NFL Odds
New Orleans Saints -3 EV
San Francisco 49ers +3 -120
Over 40½ -110
Under 40½ -110
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