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Royals vs. Angels Preview + Free Pick April 17th, 2008
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MLB Baseball Free Picks – Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels
The Kansas City Royals, (9-6, 3-12 O/U), have been one of the biggest surprises in all of baseball this season, but have had the Los Angeles Angels, (9-7, 9-5-2 O/U, ) right where they want them for quite some time, winning six straight games against the Angels including a solid 3-2 win on Wednesday.
The Angels, who had their three-game winning streak in the Our best Sportsbooks snapped with the loss, will look to get back to their winning ways by sending starter Jon Garland, (1-2, 5.50 ERA), to the mound and should have an excellent chance as Garland has beaten the Royals more than any other team in his career, particularly at home, where he has gone a spectacular 10-1 with a 2.50 ERA in 18 home games, including 16 starts.
“They’ve got a lot of young talent,” Angels hurler Jered Weaver said about the Royals. “They’re not the same team they have been in the past.”
The Royals will counter with veteran Brett Tomko (1-1, 2.08) who makes his third start of the season after facing the Minnesota Twins in each of his first two starts including Saturday’s 2-0 loss in which he gave up just two runs on six hits in six innings.
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Angels big-bopper Vladimir Guerrero, injured his index finger on Wednesday, but has struggled against Tomko mightily in his career, going just 1-for-13 against the veteran right-hander.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Betting Picks.
Key Royals Trends
The Royals are 4-1 in their last five vs. a team with a winning record.
The Royals are 6-2 in their last eight games as a road underdog.
The Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Key Angels Trends
The Angels are 5-1 in their last six games following a loss.
The Angels are 4-1 in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Angels are 8-2 in their last ten Thursday games.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Royals last six when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last six road games vs. a team with a winning record.
The Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Over is 5-1-1 in Angels last seven on grass.
The Over is 4-1 in Angels last five home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last six games as a favorite.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Royals are 4-0 in the last four meetings in Los Angeles.
The Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles.
The Under is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings.
Analysis: While Tomko is throwing the ball well and the Royals suddenly look very for real, I’m going with the Angels to win this contest behind a strong performance from Garland. Take the Angels to win though the improved Royals certainly won’t make it easy.
MLB Free Picks: Angels 5 Royals 3
10:05 PM EST MLB Odds
Kansas City Royals
Brett Tomko – R +1½ -150
Los Angeles Angels
Jon Garland – R -1½ +130
Over 9 -120
Under 9 EV
American League
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