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Posted on 12/22/2007 9:15 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Wagering – Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings
The Washington Redskins, (7-7 SU, 5-7-2 ATS, 6-8 O/U), and Minnesota Vikings, (8-6 SU, 7-5-2 ATS, 7-7 O/U) are fighting for their postseason lives as they enter this Week 15 NFC showdown.
The Vikings have won five straight games and will clinch a spot in the playoffs for the first time since 2004 with a victory over the Redskins.
The Redskins have won two straight games after dropping their previous four games and is looking to reach the playoffs for the second time in the last three seasons.
The Vikings will need to get a better performance from young starting quarterback Tarvaris Jackson who threw three interceptions against the Chicago Bears last week, while the Redskins will also have to figure out a way to stop explosive rookie running back Adrian Peterson who torched the Bears with two second-half touchdowns last week.
The Redskins, have had an emotional season because of the death of safety Sean Taylor who died Nov. 27 after being shot during a burglary at his home in Miami.
The Redskins are ranked 16th in overall offense, averaging 329.6 yards and 19.6 points per game and tenth in overall defense allowing 316.8 yards and 20.2 points per game. Washington pounded the New York Giants 22-10 on the road last week.
The Vikings, are ranked 13th in overall offense, averaging 338.9 yards and 23.2 points per game. The Vikings are ranked 21st in overall defense allowing 334.6 yards and 18.4 points per game.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Betting Free Picks:
Key Redskins Trends
The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Redskins are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Key Vikings Trends
The Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.
The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
The Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Redskins last four games following a ATS win.
The Under is 5-0 in Redskins last five games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Over is 4-0 in Vikings last four games following a ATS loss.
The Over is 5-1 in Vikings last six games on turf.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
There are no trends available.
Analysis: I don’t think either team in this matchup is eight points better than the other, giving the cover to the Redskins. While I like the Vikings to win outright, I say take the ‘Skins to cover in what looks like a last-second field goal game.
NFL Free Picks: Redskins +7 Points/Over 40.5 Total Points
08:15 PM EST NFL Odds
Washington Redskins +7 EV
Minnesota Vikings -7 -120
Over 40½ -110
Under 40½ -110
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