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Posted on 11/22/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Odds – Ravens (+9) at San Diego Chargers (-9)
The Baltimore Ravens, (4-6 SU, 1-9 ATS, 4-4-2 O/U) and San Diego Chargers are undoubtedly the two biggest disappointments in the NFL this season.
After winning 13 games last season, the Ravens have looked absolutely pathetic this season in compiling their underwhelming 4-6 record.
The San Diego Chargers, a 14-win team last season – and one of the top picks to come out of the AFC prior to the start of the 2007 season have looked almost as atrocious as their counterparts in this contest.
The Ravens are ranked a pitiful 22nd in overall offense this season, averaging 303.1 yards and 16.8 points per game while the Chargers, (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U) aren’t much better offensively despite having elusive running back LaDainian Tomlinson on the roster. San Diego is ranked 20th in overall offense, averaging 303.8 yards and 22.9 points per game.
The Ravens are once again, a near-juggernaut defensively where they are ranked sixth in overall, allowing 287.3 yards and 21.1 points per game while San Diego’s stellar defensive unit from a season ago is now ranked 26th in overall defense, allowing 353.7 yards and 20.9 points per game.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free Football Betting Picks:
Key Ravens Trends
The Ravens are 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine games in Week 12.
The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Ravens are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games.
Key Chargers Trends
The Chargers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on grass.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Ravens last four games as an underdog.
The Under is 5-1 in Ravens last six games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Under is 5-0 in Chargers last five games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Over is 7-1-1 in Chargers last nine games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
The Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
Analysis: While I like the Chargers to win this game and keep their postseason hopes alive, the Baltimore Ravens should be able to cover this high spread with their collective eyes closed. Take the Ravens because of their defense if nothing else.
NFL Free Picks: Ravens +9 Points/Under 38.5 Points
04:15 PM EST NFL Odds
Baltimore Ravens +9 -110
San Diego Chargers -9 -110
Over 38½ -110
Under 38½ -110
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