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Posted on 12/21/2007 9:15 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Football Betting Action – Oakland at Jacksonville
NOTABLE STAT: Oakland has given up 4.7 yards per rush this season
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TRENDS: Jacksonville has covered its last six games; Oakland is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
The Oakland Raiders (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS) may be breaking in a new quarterback – the #1 choice in the 2007 NFL draft – when they visit Municipal Stadium in Jacksonville (grass) to take on the Jaguars (10-4 SU & ATS) in an NFL game set for 1 PM ET kickoff on Sunday.
In the Top Sportsbooks NFL football betting odds, the Jaguars are listed at -13.5, with the total posted at 38.5 points.
Here are some of the NFL football betting trends and stats relative to this matchup:
* OAK has covered six of its last 19 games
* OAK has won four of its last 23 games SU
* OAK has played four of its last five games OVER the total
* OAK has won two of its last 18 road games SU
* OAK has played five of its last seven road games OVER the total
* JAX has covered its last six games
* JAX has won five of its last six games SU
* JAX has covered four of its last five home games
* JAX has played eight straight games OVER the total
* JAX has played four of its last five home games OVER the total
* The last three meetings have gone UNDER the total
It looks like JaMarcus Russell could get his first NFL start in this one, or at the very least his first extended playing time. And some might have been wondering what coach Lane Kiffin had been waiting for, considering that Josh McCown had another lackluster effort, the latest of many, on Sunday against the Colts, completing just 13 passes for 94 yards. The weather ought to be warm enough for Russell, after Kiffin deliberately kept him out of the Green Bay game due to the cold environs. You’ve got to believe the learning curve has been a little steep for Russell, or else he would have been in there earlier. And let’s not forget that in his career at LSU, Russell had tremendous success against the lesser clubs but often had mistake-ridden outings against the better programs. Jacksonville is headed for the AFC playoffs, so it’s fair to say the Jags are one of the better “programs.” Whether it’s Russell or McCown in action, you better believe the Jaguars are going to stack the line to stop the most dependable offensive player Oakland has – running back Justin Fargas (1009 yards) – and make the quarterback throw.
And speaking of making that quarterback throw, David Garrard had what has to be regarded as a breakout game against Pittsburgh. Yes, he threw his second interception of the season, but also had three touchdown passes in the inclement weather. And you can’t say enough about the Jacksonville running game; these guys scampered for 224 rushing yards against Pittsburgh’s defense, which was rated #1 in the NFL. So they naturally want to shove it down the opponent’s throat. Fred Taylor (279 yards in last two weeks), who has been snubbed out of the Pro Bowl throughout his career, received the snub of all snubs this season, and should be looking to make the proverbial “statement.” Oakland is inviting enough; even though the Raiders surrendered just 58 yards on the ground against Indianapolis last week, they have given up 4.7 yards a pop for the season. And nine running backs have topped the 100-yard mark against them.
Jacksonville has once again become a very difficult place to play. The Jags have lost two home games, this is true, but the Jaguars are allowing only 15 points per game there, with only one opponent – the Colts – scoring more than 17. We don’t know what the future holds for Oakland coach Kiffin, but this Sunday will not be pleasant. We’ll lay the lumber with Jacksonville, the 13.5-point favorite in the Top Sportsbooks NFL betting odds.
NFL betting odds: JACKSONVILLE -13.5, Total: 38.5
NFL Free Pick: JAY’S PLAY: JACKSONVILLE
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