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NCAA Football Wagering – Purdue (7-4) at Indiana (6-5)
The Purdue Boilermakers, (7-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U) are averaging 428.7 yards and 33.7 points per game and allowing 380.8 yards and 24.5 points per game. Purdue enters this contest coming off a 48-31 loss to Michigan State last week.
The Indiana Hoosiers, (6-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U) are averaging 389.5 yards and 32.0 points per game and allowing 397.5 yards and 27.0 points per game. Indiana lost to Northwestern last week but managed to cover the spread and increase my NCAA Football bankroll.
Purdue won this perennial clash one year ago, 28-19 at home.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free NCAA Football Picks.
Key Boilermakers Trends
The Boilermakers are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven games in November.
The Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
The Boilermakers are 7-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Key Hoosiers Trends
The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a ATS loss.
The Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. loss.
The Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Boilermakers last four games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
The Under is 6-0 in Boilermakers last six games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Under is 4-1 in Hoosiers last five games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Hoosiers last five games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.
The Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
The Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
Analysis: Indiana has been an absolute money-maker for me the last six weeks, including last week when they covered against Northwestern. Sure, Indiana has traditionally been a ‘basketball’ school, but I say the Hoosiers win this game and cover the spread at home while validating their season even more.
NCAAF Free Picks: Indiana -2.5 Points
12:00 PM EST NCAA Odds
Purdue Boilermakers -2½ -110
Indiana Hoosiers +2½ -110
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