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NCAAB News NCAAB Previews NCAAB Sportsbooks Posted on 01/28/2007 3:30 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff
NCAA Basketball Betting – Portland at Gonzaga
Our Sportsbooks: The Portland Pilots (7-13 SU, 6-11 ATS) have not had the same kind of success this season as their NBA counterparts, the Trail Blazers, and they will have their work cut out for them on Monday night when they visit the McCarthey Athletic Center in Spokane to take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs (15-5 SU, 10-10 ATS) in West Coast Conference action set to tip off at 8 PM ET.
In the Top Sportsbooks NCAAB betting odds, Gonzaga is listed at -22.5, with a total of 139.5 posted.
Here are some of the NCAA basketball betting trends relative to this matchup:
* PORT has lost five of its last seven games SU
* PORT is 1-6 ATS in its last seven posted games
* PORT has played its last three games UNDER the total
* PORT is 2-8 SU on the road this season
* PORT is 4-5 ATS on the road this season
* GONZ is 5-9 ATS at home this season
* GONZ has won six of its last seven games SU
* GONZ is 3-7 ATS in its last ten games
* GONZ has played four of its last six games OVER the total
* GONZ has won the last eight meetings SU
* GONZ has had the shooting edge in each of the last eight meetings
* GONZ has had the rebounding edge in each of the last eight meetings
Gonzaga is coming off a big effort against #1 Memphis on Saturday, where they did not win (81-73 final) but they did get the cover. It would frankly be surprising if, just a couple of days later, they were to have enough in the tank to put forth a full effort here. The ‘Zags have not been winning money for their betting backers, covering three of the last ten, and they have dropped their last six home games to the number.
Certainly almost all of the fundamental edges here must go to Gonzaga, but Portland may have a chance to make things interesting if they can avoid getting off to one of those horrible starts that have plagued them. And the Pilots are no strangers to playing close games: out of Portland’s 13 losses, only four of them have been by more than ten points, and the last four have been by 13 points combined.
Of course, it isn’t going to be easy. Guard Nik Raivio, the team’s leading scorer, has been in a bit of a slump, having put up 18 total points in the last three games. But Taishi Ito has had a 2.4-to-1 ratio of assists to turnovers in conference play. And German import Robin Smeulders, who had 15 points and nine rebounds in a narrow loss to San Diego, looks like he may be evolving into the kind of player Portland was hoping for. Gonzaga leads the conference with a +5.4 rebounding margin, but Portland is right behind the ‘Zags, at +5.
A little mental fatigue, combined with Portland’s penchant for being able to keep games close, and the hefty impost, lean us toward the Pilots, the 22.5-point underdog in the Top Sportsbooks NCAAB batting odds.
BetUS NCAA basketball betting odds: GONZAGA -22.5, Total 139.5
NCAA Basketball Free Pick: JAY’S PLAY: PORTLAND
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