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NCAA Football News NCAAF Previews NCAAF Sportsbooks Posted on 11/15/2007 10:25 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Odds – No. 22 Penn State (8-3) at Michigan State (6-5)
The Penn State Nittany Lions, (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS, 5-6 O/U) are averaging 403.0 yards and 30.8 points per game and allowing 295.8 yards and 16.0 points per game. Penn State is coming off a 31-0 win over the Temple Owls last week.
The Michigan State Spartans, (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 8-3 O/U) are averaging 426.4 yards and 34.0 points per game and allowing 351.0 yards and 26.5 points per game. The Spartans scored their second-most points of the season in beating Purdue 48-31 last week.
The Nittany Lions won this matchup one year ago, 17-13.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my Free NCAA Football Betting Picks:
Key Nittany Lions Trends
The Nittany Lions are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games in November.
The Nittany Lions are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
The Nittany Lions are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a ATS win.
Key Spartans Trends
The Spartans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Spartans are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
The Spartans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 6-1 in Nittany Lions last seven games in November.
The Under is 10-2 in Nittany Lions last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Spartans last five games on grass.
The Over is 7-1 in Spartans last eight games overall.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 8-2-1 in the last eleven meetings.
The Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
The Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last ten meetings.
Analysis: While it won’t be a walk in the park, I fully expect the Nittany Lions to win this game and cover the spread over their mediocre conference rivals here. Penn State’s defense is simply too good to lose this game – even on the road.
NCAAF Free Picks: Penn State -3 Points
12:00 PM EST NCAAF Odds
Penn State Nittany Lions -3 -110
Michigan State Spartans +3 -110
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