Patriots Vs. Dolphins NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 10/19/2007 5:41:51 PM
NFL Betting Picks – New England at Miami
Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The New England Patriots, (6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS, 5-1 O/U) are ranked first in overall offense, averaging 431.2 yards and 38.3 points per game. The Patriots are dominating their opponents on the defensive side of the football where they are ranked 2nd overall, allowing 256.7 yards and 15.3 points per contest. New England’s defense is allowing a miniscule 78 yards rushing per contest.
The Miami Dolphins, (0-6 SU, 1-3-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U) are ranked 21st in overall offense, averaging 325 yards and 21.3 points per game. The Fish are also ranked in the lower third of the league in defense (No. 23 overall) allowing 352 yards and a whopping 30.3 points per game to their opponents.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Patriots Trends
The Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in October.
The Patriots are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Dolphins Trends
The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
The Dolphins are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss.
The Dolphins are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Patriots last five games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Over is 4-0 in Patriots last four games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
The Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Under is 10-2 in Dolphins last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Miami.
The Home team is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
The Under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings.
Analysis: The New England Patriots are firing on all cylinders both, offensively and defensively while the Miami Dolphins are floundering like ‘Fish’ out of water, forgive the pun. The Dolphins suddenly have all sorts of issues that may take years for the franchise to straighten out. The Patriots have been routinely beating good teams by three touchdowns, so beating the ‘Fins by 18 should be a walk in the park – or in this case, at the beach. Take the Pats to win and cover – again.
NFL Free Picks: Patriots 42 Dolphins 14
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
New England Patriots -17½ -110
Miami Dolphins +17½ -110
Over 51 -110
Under 51 -110
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